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With three weeks to go, the AL has a 20-game lead on the NL, 150-130.
Is it luck? Pythagoras says it is. NL has outscored the AL 1289-1277.
I don't think it's luck.
The best battle, by far, is the Giants and Dodgers for the division. Whic makes the next best the Padres and Reds for the second wild card. Baseball-Reference gives the nod to the Reds, probably because the Padres have to play more games against the Giants and Dodgers from here on out.
Postseason Races
Most Likely Playoff Scenario
Division Winners: TBR, HOU, CHW
Wild Cards: NYY, BOS
Most Likely Playoff Scenario
Division Winners: SFG, MIL, ATL
Wild Cards: LAD, CIN
division leaders in bold, Full Standings
See Full Playoff Odds
Sep 8
The wild card standings on the morning after the trade deadline:
Jul 31
On the day after the trade deadline:
AL Standings
Full Standings
Most Likely Playoff Scenario
HOU vs. (BOS or OAK)
TBR vs. CHW
See Full Playoff Odds
NL Standings
Full Standings
Most Likely Playoff Scenario
SFG vs. (LAD or SDP)
MIL vs. NYM
See Full Playoff Odds
Jul 31
At the break
2021 WAR Leaders
Pitchers:
Shohei Ohtani* (LAA): 67.0 IP, 3.49 ERA, 1.209 WHIP, 11.7 SO/9
.279 BA. 1.062 OPS, 33 HR, 12 SB, 5.6 WAR
Jacob deGrom* (NYM): 92.0 IP, 1.08 ERA, 0.543 WHIP, 14.3 SO/9, 5.0 WAR
Kevin Gausman* (SFG): 114.2 IP, 1.73 ERA, 0.820 WHIP, 10.4 SO/9, 5.0 WAR
Zack Wheeler (PHI): 119.2 IP, 2.26 ERA, 0.969 WHIP, 10.9 SO/9, 4.9 WAR
Wade Miley (CIN): 96.1 IP, 2.80 ERA, 1.163 WHIP, 7.1 SO/9, 4.5 WAR
Gerrit Cole (NYY): 114.0 IP, 2.68 ERA, 0.930 WHIP, 11.6 SO/9, 4.3 WAR
See 2021 pitching leaders at Baseball-Reference.com
Batters:
Fernando Tatis Jr.* (SDP): .286 BA, 1.020 OPS, 28 HR, 20 SB, 4.3 WAR
Marcus Semien* (TOR): .277 BA, .873 OPS, 22 HR, 10 SB, 4.3 WAR
Max Muncy (LAD): .270 BA, .972 OPS, 19 HR, 1 SB, 4.2 WAR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR): .332 BA, 1.089 OPS, 28 HR, 2 SB, 4.2 WAR
Joey Gallo (TEX): .239 BA, .923 OPS, 24 HR, 6 SB, 4.0 WAR
Brandon Crawford (SFG): .289 BA, .921 OPS, 18 HR, 7 SB, 4.0 WAR
See 2021 batting leaders at Baseball-Reference.com
* - pictured above
Jul 15
At the All-Star break
AL Standings
Full Standings
Most Likely Playoff Scenario
HOU vs. (BOS or OAK)
TBR vs. CHW
See Full Playoff Odds
NL Standings
Full Standings
Most Likely Playoff Scenario
LAD vs. (SFG or SDP)
MIL vs. PHI
See Full Playoff Odds
Jul 15
We once had a team run the table on hitting points. 60 in a 5x5 league. Nobody's ever done it in pitching.
Jul 9
Wow!! Great job, Alex. Garcia has been worth every penny of that $31 and then some.
Jul 9
Alex to his credit went all in on Waivers for Adolis Garcia, spending 40 percent of his budget on the guy who is on pace to earn $31. There are probably months when the players available on Waivers don't collectively add up to earn $31 of value. There is a reason why Alex's team is just 6 points shy of a perfect 96 points in the 8-category American Dreams League. Needless to say, this is the Roto equivalent of the 1906 Chicago Cubs who went 116-36.
Jul 9
American Dream Leaguers will note from the profit leaderboard Alex quotes below that Alex's ADL squad has Mullins, Garcia and Joey Gallo and Yordan Alvarez. Which is why he's in first by a bazillion points.
He didn't do badly on the pitching side either, with Ryu, Lynn, and Gibson. Praise be.
Jul 9