Nick Castellanos Philadelphia Phillies

Age: 30 (March 04, 1992) | 6' 4" | 203lbs. | Bats: Right OF-135 RF-57 DH-1 PH-1
Tm Lg YEAR G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG BB% SO% BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
DET AL 2018 157 620 88 185 49 151 46 5 23 89 2 1 .298 .354 .500 7 22 .361 35/29/36 27 26
DET AL 2019 100 403 57 110 31 96 37 3 11 37 2 1 .273 .328 .462 7 22 .332 38/23/39 10 11
CHC NL 2019 51 212 43 68 10 47 21 0 16 36 0 1 .321 .356 .646 4 21 .347 37/22/42 13 12
CIN NL 2020 60 218 37 49 19 69 11 2 14 34 0 2 .225 .298 .486 8 29 .257 35/26/39 17 18
CIN NL 2021 138 531 95 164 41 121 38 1 34 100 3 1 .309 .362 .576 7 21 .340 38/27/36 34 32
PHI NL 2022 42 161 20 41 13 43 10 0 5 21 2 0 .255 .316 .410 7 24 .316 38/24/39 6 5
Career 10yrs 1128 4270 560 1184 307 1073 288 35 173 615 16 17 .277 .328 .483 7 23 .330 n/a
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Lots of line drives, and more Hard Pct than anyone else in baseball this year.

The top five in the Bill James Handbook (100+ PA):

Castellanos 31.1

JD Martinez 30.9

Yoenis Cespedes 30.5

Jose Abreu 30.4

Victor Martinez 30.3

This is strictly hard contact (as determined by BIS in what seems to be a proprietary formula "using exit velocity but also several other parameters") divided by plate appearances.

If hard contact is divided by balls in play, the top five become --

JD Martinez

Alex Avila

Colby Rasmus

Joey Gallo

Rhys Hoskins

Percentages not given in the Handbook but obviously much higher.

However, this second list is misleading; surely counting all the times the batter doesn't make contact at all, even though he tries to, is preferable.

Having said that, I have a question: should walks be counted?

For that matter, should sac bunts?

Wouldn't hard contact divided by plate-appearances-minus-walks-and-sac-bunts give a better idea of how often a batter makes hard contact?

Alex Patton Alex
Dec 1 '17

He's been on of the most consistent line drive% hitters(6th in LD% over the last 4 seasons min. 1500 PA).

van wilhoite LVW
Jul 20 '17

He was serviceable in April and just flat out awful in May.

Since June came rolling around, he's been fantastic.

According to Fangraphs, he is 2nd in all of baseball in Hard%, behind only Alex Avila!  Ahead of C. Seager, Goldschmidt, Judge, Miggy...

I just don't understand the GB% vs. FB% change.  Seems as if he didn't get the recent memo.


He will make it up Alex.  He needs to, for my sake!

Gary Cruciani Megary
Jul 19 '17

Even after his huge night last night in KC (four hits, two homers, a triple, five driven in), his season is a little disappointing.

Plenty of time to make that up.

Alex Patton Alex
Jul 19 '17

Some serious butchery committed in the field. His -2.8 dWAR in 2014 could be threatened.

Alex Patton Alex
Apr 29 '17

A big disconnect after 13 games between his BABIP (.237) and G/L/F (38/33/30).

The Statcast averages suggest even worse luck.

Average exit velocity: 95.75 (MLB avg 87.77)

Average distance: 235.15 (186.09)

Average generated velocity: 8.88 (-0.40)

I tried to buy him in the ADL, but the Bags nominated him in the second round and kept bidding until I dropped out at 21. My consolation prize is I picked him in Doubt Mixed for the crazy mixed up price of 8.

Alex Patton Alex
Apr 19 '17

Me too.

Alex Patton Alex
Mar 24 '17

Recently from Anthony Fenech, Detroit Free Press: "Nick Castellanos is running better, thanks to a combination of his shape – stronger and lighter – and his mind-set, which shows a maturing player. Manager Brad Ausmus offered a strong compliment recently, saying Castellanos is paying attention to the small things that matter the most... Castellanos is the overwhelming favorite to hit second. He wants the spot and Ausmus called his improved baserunning “encouraging” in regards to hitting second. For a player of his ability, burying him seventh in the lineup seems out of the question."

If Castellanos is slotted No.2, then almost all of his projections are off, including Peter's. The guy is age 25. I'm buying.

Fred Herbst Dropdedfred
Mar 24 '17

Notes from Justin Mason's podcast today, where we talked about third basemen:

Matured as a power-hitter last year.

The injury obscures that, cutting his at bats, but it may
also provoke too much optimism. He strikes out a lot and doesn’t walk enough,
and neither of those things improved last year. His big improvement came in BA,
fueled by BABIP bump.

The power is for real but his BA is more likely to be .260
than .280.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Mar 3 '17

Came to unspecified terms with the Tigers yesterday, avoiding arbitration.

Fangraphs thinks his defense was bad but it's getting better.

Baseball-Reference thinks his defense was bad and is getting worse.

Baseball Prospectus thinks his defense was okay and has gotten bad.

All agree he turned into a force on offense. Playing just two-thirds of a season, playing worse defense, Nick gets better total WAR scores at all three web sites.

As you saw if you were coming by here in December, he gets five picks and no pans in the soon-to-be-available Guide.

Alex Patton Alex
Jan 14 '17