P&Co | Mike Trout

Tm	Lg	YEAR	G	AB	R	H	BB	SO	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	CS	BA	OBP	SLG	BB%	SO%	BABIP	G/L/F %	$4x4	$5x5
LAA	R	2009	39	164	29	59	18	28	7	7	1	25	13	2	.360	.418	.506	10	15	.423	n/a
LAA	A	2009	5	15	1	4	4	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	.267	.421	.267	20	33	.444	n/a
LAA	A	2010	81	312	76	113	46	52	19	7	6	39	45	9	.362	.443	.526	13	15	.420	n/a
LAA	A+	2010	50	196	30	60	27	33	9	2	4	19	11	6	.306	.385	.434	12	15	.346	n/a
LAA	AA	2011	0	353	82	115	45	76	18	13	11	38	33	10	.326	.414	.544	11	19	.390	n/a
LAA	AL	2011	40	123	20	27	9	30	6	0	5	16	4	0	.220	.281	.390	7	22	.247	39/21/40	3	3
LAA	AFL	2011	25	106	12	26	5	33	5	0	1	5	3	1	.245	.279	.321	5	30	.347	n/a
LAA	AAA	2012	20	77	21	31	11	16	4	5	1	13	6	1	.403	.467	.623	12	18	.476	n/a
LAA	AL	2012	139	559	129	182	67	139	27	8	30	83	49	5	.326	.399	.564	10	22	.383	44/23/33	49	45
LAA	AL	2013	157	589	109	190	110	136	39	9	27	97	33	7	.323	.432	.557	15	19	.376	41/23/36	47	41
LAA	AL	2014	157	602	115	173	83	184	39	9	36	111	16	2	.287	.377	.561	12	26	.349	34/19/47	42	39
LAA	AL	2015	159	575	104	172	92	158	32	6	41	90	11	7	.299	.402	.590	13	23	.344	37/24/38	38	36
LAA	AL	2016	159	549	123	173	116	137	32	5	29	100	30	7	.315	.441	.550	17	20	.371	41/22/37	45	42
LAA	A	2017	4	9	5	2	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	.222	.500	.556	29	14	.286	n/a
LAA	AL	2017	114	402	92	123	94	90	25	3	33	72	22	4	.306	.442	.629	19	18	.318	37/18/45	34	31
LAA	AL	2018	140	471	101	147	122	124	24	4	39	79	24	2	.312	.460	.628	20	20	.346	31/23/45	43	38
LAA	AL	2019	134	470	110	137	110	120	27	2	45	104	11	2	.291	.438	.645	18	20	.298	24/27/49	34	32
LAA	AL	2020	53	199	41	56	35	56	9	2	17	46	1	1	.281	.390	.603	15	23	.300	25/24/50	35	33
LAA	AL	2021	36	117	23	39	27	41	8	1	8	18	2	0	.333	.466	.624	18	28	.456	42/24/34	8	8
Career		11yrs	1288	4656	967	1419	865	1215	268	49	310	816	203	37	.305	.419	.583	15	21	.348	n/a

MLB | Fangraphs | Baseball Reference | Baseball Prospectus

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I like the price. In 2012, 2013 and 2016, Trout earned it in 4x4. And aside from his injured 2017, he has come reasonably close to $45 in all other seasons. Finally, someday Trout may even find himself playing meaningful games in September.

WShapiro
Nov 18 '18

I'm working on Big Prices for the Guide. Today I have Mike Trout with a price of $45. What do you think?

Rotoman
Nov 17 '18

Trout became the 1st player to have 3 seasons of a .300+ avg with 30+ HRs and 90 RBIs or less....Bonds is the only player with 2 and ironically Betts did it for the 1st time this year.

LVW
Nov 15 '18

I had Trout this year for a full season for the first time since 2013, when Ron Shandler's negativity allowed me to get him (Trout, not Shandler) for $39 in CBS AL.

I got him in LABR for $42. My accounting shows he earned $38. That's awesome. We all dream on that $50 season from Trout - and no one wants to lose money on a player - but locking in $35 of stats as a baseline is great. You can't feel comfortable that any other player in baseball will do that even though, sure, Betts might. I'm reluctant to bet on that batting average repeating for Betts.

I'd put a $44 bid limit on Trout easily for AL-only.

MikeG
Nov 15 '18

Consistency is a skill, until it isn't. Trout isn't No. 1 in most years, but he's near the top every year. Nobody else is. That's why he should be the highest paid fantasy player each year. (Okay, there is a case for Mookie this year. You can make it, and I'll admit it's close. But I'll take Trout first, and maybe gift the second pick.)

Eugene's comment about Trout's walks is right on. In BA leagues all that offensive production is not counted. Change to OBP. Give Trout and other Bases on Balls guys respect.

Rotoman
Nov 15 '18

In 2012 he was 1st in the AL in earnings (5x5). Then he was 2nd in 2013. Since then he's finished 3rd a bunch of times, 4th once, and 6th once. Yes, he's the best player and perhaps he has the highest ceiling, but guys like Betts and Altuve earn more when they steal more. I wouldn't bet on Altuve taking his crown back given his knee injury. But, I could see Betts and Jose Ramirez both out earning Trout again next year. Maybe Lindor too. When I do projections in the spring, I expect one or more of them to be ahead of Trout. And, my bid limits are my projections. (I know most people disagree with that.) I'm guessing it's around $36 in 5x5 pre-inflation.

At this point I think his biggest problem is that he walks a lot. It takes away from his ABs, which lowers the value of his average even when he plays 150+ games. 602 is his most ABs. That could be 10% lower than other top hitters. His lineup hurts his Runs and RBI totals. Other than Upton and Ohtani, the Angels are terrible.

One year he's going to break out and earn $45 if he stays healthy and steals 30+ again. But, if not he's going to be a sure thing, just not the #1 earner.