Juan Soto Washington Nationals

Age: 23 (October 25, 1998) | 6' 2" | 224lbs. | Bats: Left OF-144 LF-36 RF-6 DH-2 PH-4
Tm Lg YEAR G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG BB% SO% BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
WAS A 2018 16 59 12 22 14 13 5 3 5 24 2 0 .373 .486 .814 19 18 .405 n/a
WAS A+ 2018 15 62 17 23 11 8 3 1 7 18 0 1 .371 .466 .790 15 11 .340 n/a
WAS AA 2018 8 31 4 10 4 7 2 0 2 10 1 0 .323 .400 .581 11 20 .364 n/a
WAS NL 2018 116 414 77 121 79 99 25 1 22 70 5 2 .292 .406 .517 16 20 .338 54/17/29 23 23
WAS NL 2019 150 542 110 153 108 132 32 5 34 110 12 1 .282 .401 .548 16 20 .312 42/21/37 32 30
WAS NL 2020 47 154 39 54 41 28 14 0 13 37 6 2 .351 .490 .695 21 14 .363 52/20/29 43 39
WAS NL 2021 151 502 111 157 145 93 20 2 29 95 9 7 .313 .465 .534 22 14 .332 53/19/29 36 34
WAS NL 2022 44 158 26 38 35 27 8 0 8 14 4 0 .241 .381 .443 18 14 .244 53/14/34 7 6
Career 5yrs 508 1770 363 523 408 379 99 8 106 326 36 12 .295 .427 .540 19 17 .322 n/a
Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!
I'm working on Big Prices for the Guide. Today I have Juan Soto with a price of $29. What do you think?
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Nov 17 '18

So, in Patton$ he earned $23 in a partial season. In my formula he earned $22. How do we deal with increased playing time? And pitcher adjustments? And his extreme walk rate? Soto is wicked young, do we even have a timeline to deal with him? Is that pertinent?

I'm pricing him at $29 in NL leagues right now. I'd like to hear arguments for and against. 

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Nov 16 '18

Yes, they finally got their first victory after losing the first two games of the six game series. The stars so far for the American squad have been J.T. Realmuto, Yadi Molina, and Soto. For the Japanese squad, Yuki Yanagita has been the star with two homers and six RBI in the first two games, including a walk-off monster shot against Kirby Yates in the first game. Check out where this one landed. https://www.mlb.com/mets/news/japan-stuns-mlb-stars-with-walk-off-homer/c-300486432

Tim McLeod tlmcleod
Nov 11 '18

Did the visitors win?

Alex Patton Alex
Nov 11 '18

Touring Japan, hitting the ball just a little too high.

https://www.mlb.com/video/sotos-fly-ball-hits-the-roof/c-2519166983?tid=36210906

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Nov 11 '18

Footnote: When he was promoted in June I was sure Eloy Jimenez would be right behind.

Uh, no. 

Alex Patton Alex
Sep 25 '18

Best teenager ever, fine, but is he the Rookie of the Year? I really don't know how I'd vote.

Juan Soto, LF, Nationals. Soto went 2-for-4 with his 21st home run. Soto's season isn't over yet, but it can be argued that it's the best by a teenager ever. At the worst, it's one of the two or three best ever by a teenager. Here's how Soto's season stacks up against all teenagers with 300 or more plate appearances since 1901 (thanks to Fangraphs leaderboard). Home runs (21): third Batting average (.295): fourth. Isolated power (.222): second. OBP (.406): first. Slugging percentage (.516): second. wOBA (.392): second. Walks (74): first.

Alex Patton Alex
Sep 25 '18

His three stolen bases yesterday stole tole a page from the Rickey Henderson record book: youngest player ever to do that. Rickey was twenty.

It's just one game -- small sample size! -- but the Barry Bonds comparisons have started.

Alex Patton Alex
Sep 16 '18

Community discussion: Soto or Acuña, Jr.? The National League Rookie of the Year race is heating up and we all have a front row seat.

Then, in another thread, this interesting comment ...

Entering tonight, considering position players only, it looks more like a 4-horse race.

Fangraphs: Soto 2.6, Bader 2.3, Anderson 2.2, and Acuna 2.0
B-Reference: Bader 3.3, Anderson 2.6, Acuna 2.5, and Soto 2.0
Averaged: Bader 2.8, Anderson 2.4, Soto 2.3, and Acuna 2.25

I find it hard to believe that Soto’s defense has been as awful as B-Ref’s metrics show. His BPro minor league numbers are slightly above average in the corner, and Clay Davenport slightly below. (Davenport has him at +2 in the majors, by the way.) I’d vote Soto…but I might have Bader second. His defense really has been a revelation. And he’s been lucky, like Trout in that one year when he stole 5 or 6 homers. Except in Bader’s case he’s been just baaarely within range to make a spectacular diving catch on numerous occasions.

Howard Lynch LynchMob
Aug 15 '18