Joc Pederson Chicago Cubs

Age: 28 (April 21, 1992) | 6' 1" | 220lbs. | Bats: Left OF-29 LF-23 RF-8 DH-12 PH-36
Tm Lg YEAR G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG BB% SO% BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
LAD A 2017 3 7 0 1 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 .143 .400 .143 30 30 .250 n/a
LAD AAA 2017 17 65 8 11 5 14 1 0 3 9 1 0 .169 .225 .323 7 20 .163 n/a
LAD NL 2017 102 273 44 58 39 68 20 0 11 35 4 3 .212 .331 .407 12 21 .241 47/19/34 5 6
LAD NL 2018 148 395 65 98 40 85 27 3 25 56 1 5 .248 .321 .522 9 19 .253 39/17/44 15 15
LAD NL 2019 149 450 83 112 50 111 16 3 36 74 1 1 .249 .339 .538 10 22 .249 42/17/41 18 17
LAD NL 2020 43 121 21 23 11 34 4 0 7 16 1 0 .190 .285 .397 8 25 .200 48/15/36 6 7
CHC NL 2021 7 21 1 2 2 8 0 0 1 3 0 0 .095 .167 .238 8 33 .077 46/0/54 -1 -1
Career 8yrs 755 2174 346 498 306 617 112 7 131 306 17 18 .229 .335 .468 12 24 .255 n/a
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Peter, you have him at $14 in The Guide.  Curious as to why you docked him here.

Market is closer to the other bids, I believe.

Gary Cruciani Megary
Mar 12 '16

His opposite field hit% was 50% higher in the 2nd half. Was it a result of:

1. his bat slowing?

2. being behind in the count more? his K% and BB% were virtually the same each half

3. a conscientious effort to avoid hitting into the shift?

4. pitchers attacking him more away and giving him fewer pitches to pull?

Is there a site that shows heat maps of how fielders are positioned when someone is batting or the entire season?

van wilhoite LVW
Feb 21 '16

A Heath Cummings pick at CBS.com.

While Pederson's second half BABIP (.250) was exceptionally low, it
was also explainable. His infield pop up rate in the second half was
22.6 percent and his soft contact rate soared to 29.4 percent. Soft pop
outs on the infield do not often turn into hits. Just because we know why he failed so miserably doesn't make it any more likely that it continues.

Pederson is a 24 year old with 30-30 potential who just had an abnormally good
first half followed by an abnormally bad second half. With people
drafting him based more on the latter, he's an excellent candidate to
regress from that prolonged slump and provide excellent value,
especially in Roto leagues.

Especially?

And aren't you explaining how he failed?

But since we don't know why he failed, just that he did -- abnormally, for half a season (small sample size!) -- there's no question he's one of the better gambles to make this year if you're in gambling mode.

Alex Patton Alex
Feb 21 '16

Four picks, one pan in Rotoman's Guide (on newsstands now).

The picks are all well argued. The pan is not. The panner is me.

I suppose there's an argument, I should say the panner is I.

But let's not get lost in semantics here. The question is, why am I panning him?

I think he has to commit to pitches just a nano-second too early. Commit to swinging or to taking. A mental thing more than a physical thing (meaning his swing is quick enough). That's a hard one to fix.

Alex Patton Alex
Jan 19 '16