Jesus Aguilar Miami Marlins

Age: 30 (June 30, 1990) | 6' 3" | 250lbs. | Bats: Right 1B-31 3B-1 DH-20 PH-20
Tm Lg YEAR G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG BB% SO% BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
MIL NL 2017 133 279 40 74 25 94 15 2 16 52 0 0 .265 .331 .505 8 30 .337 41/21/38 11 11
MIL NL 2018 149 492 80 135 58 143 25 0 35 108 0 0 .274 .352 .539 10 25 .309 35/24/41 28 26
MIL NL 2019 94 222 26 50 31 59 9 0 8 34 0 0 .225 .320 .374 12 23 .264 41/21/38 3 4
TAM AL 2019 37 92 13 24 12 22 3 0 4 16 0 0 .261 .336 .424 11 21 .290 45/18/37 3 3
MIA NL 2020 51 188 31 52 23 40 10 0 8 34 0 1 .277 .352 .457 11 19 .306 36/26/38 20 20
MIA NL 2021 7 21 2 7 4 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 .333 .423 .381 15 8 .350 35/10/55 1 1
Career 8yrs 506 1352 194 352 157 381 64 2 71 252 0 1 .260 .338 .468 10 25 .303 n/a
Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!

I'd say $25 at this point, to be adjusted if necessary during spring training. (I'm biased, I got him for a dollar at our auction the second weekend when Thames was starting.)

mike fenger mike
Nov 18 '18

Too low. It looked like pitchers had his number mid-season but he adjusted.

Alex Patton Alex
Nov 17 '18
I'm working on Big Prices for the Guide. Today I have Jesus Aguilar with a price of $22. What do you think?
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Nov 17 '18

That was some nice bat control on Friday night. I still keep thinking how nice he would look on the Indians. Can't help myself from comparing Aguilar to Encarnacion, as well as Alonso, especially on the big stage of post-season. 

David Molyneaux NeauxBrainers ()
Oct 20 '18

You're going to shift on me and pitch outside? No problem.

Alex Patton Alex
Oct 20 '18

It makes it easier to accept undeserved luck, too, like last year, when we got Matt Olson for a FAAB dollar (ONE) in mid-August.  That was a great decision (result) completely disconnected from the (pretty casual) decision to bid on him (strategy).

Mike Dean TMU2009
Jul 13 '18

The other change I made this year was to make a conscious decision not to beat myself up over the misses.  There will always be misses.

I *knew* Lester was going to outplay Quintana, but Quintana came up first and I spent $26 on him while Lester went for $19. In past years, I would have agonized over this for the rest of the season.

Kent Ostby Seadogs
Jul 13 '18

This.  All you can do is make the best decisions you can, based on the best information you can acquire.  If your decisions, on that basis, aren't working out on the level you need, you need to re-evaluate SOMETHING.

Mike Dean TMU2009
Jul 13 '18

Just like in real life, we need to avoid "resulting" in judging our choices as fantasy baseball players. 

Resulting means deciding based on a result that we made a good bet or not. This is the theme of a book called "Thinking in Bets" by Annie Duke, a former professional poker player which points out that a Result = Decision + Luck.

Most people will go to one extreme or another.  Most of us say that it was just luck that we didn't keep Aguilar or that it was a great decision to keep Aguilar. Most of us don't account for our own bad choices.

For many years, I went the other way and didn't give myself a break for luck. Telling myself instead, that I "should have known."

I cut Aguilar in one league and didn't acquire him in a trade this year and it was a poor decision and not luck.  At 3, earning 10, the correct decision is that "he will find enough PT to earn at least 3."  I cut him in the name of position flexibility which points out one of my personal flaws (as Howard can attest to) of being in love with position flexibility (hence the 5 catchers I once carried on an active roster ... two C/1B playing 1B/CI, two CT, 1 UT).

Aguilar SHOULD raise four questions for Cleveland:
1) Why did we think he was a AAAA player? What tool in that assessment was incorrect? (so "Did he get enough ABs?" might be a good question, but so might a question of "How did he do against pitchers who eventually made it to the big leagues?" or "What is the worst type of player could he be if we keep him?")

2) What changed when he went to Milwaukee (launch angle, taking pitches to go deeper in the count, laying off crap)? 

3) What do we adjust in our processes to check for stuff in #1 and teach for stuff in #2?

4) Who in our organization right now is on a similar road map and how can we intervene in their development to create the players we need?

Kent Ostby Seadogs
Jul 13 '18

Wouldn't you say there's a certain agita when someone in the front office (the low guy on the totem pole who has to follow the fantasy sites) reads this?

Jesus Aguilar (1B) MIL - Jul. 12

Aguilar went 1-for-4 with a solo home run and a walk in Thursday's loss to the Pirates.

ROTOWIRE RECOMMENDS: Aguilar simply can't be stopped right now. He has five long balls in his last seven games and 15 since the start of June, raising his OPS from .901 to 1.019 during that span. The 28-year-old slugger recently won the NL All-Star Final Vote and he continues to show why.

Alex Patton Alex
Jul 13 '18