Eric Hosmer San Diego Padres

Age: 31 (October 24, 1989) | 6' 4" | 225lbs. | Bats: Left 1B-32 DH-5 PH-2
Tm Lg YEAR G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG BB% SO% BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
KC AL 2017 162 603 98 192 66 104 31 1 25 94 6 1 .318 .385 .498 10 15 .351 56/22/22 31 30
SD NL 2018 157 613 72 155 62 142 31 2 18 69 7 4 .253 .322 .398 9 21 .302 60/20/20 17 17
SD NL 2019 160 619 72 164 40 163 29 2 22 99 0 3 .265 .310 .425 6 24 .323 56/21/23 17 17
SD NL 2020 38 143 23 41 9 28 6 0 9 36 4 0 .287 .333 .517 6 18 .296 46/20/34 28 24
SD NL 2021 7 26 4 9 2 7 2 0 2 7 0 0 .346 .414 .654 7 24 .412 68/11/21 2 2
Career 11yrs 1410 5392 718 1501 473 1054 274 20 178 777 71 26 .278 .336 .436 8 18 .315 n/a
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I think $21 about right. 

carter carter GypsySoul
Dec 2 '18

I'm thinking $19 or $20. 

Mike Gianella MikeG
Dec 2 '18

Too low. I'd go with our bids last year.

Alex Patton Alex
Dec 2 '18
I'm working on Big Prices for the Guide. Today I have Eric Hosmer with a price of $18. What do you think?
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Nov 17 '18

I like this analysis by Jeff Sullivan a lot. I don't know how much it means that the year Hosmer hit his most fly balls he hit his fewest homers, but it means something. 

Better said is the idea that guys who are successful don't have reasons to change. And Hosmer will find going for the fences in San Diego frustrating, too, unless he really unleashes the power.

Still, as players push 30 (that's Hosmer in 2019), they start to swing earlier, elevate the ball more, strike out more. Generally. I suspect we have some more home runs in Hosmer's future, but not because he decided to change to please others.

Change will come to help with his career survival.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Feb 24 '18

Full no-trade for first 3 years, then limited after that.  I like what San Diego did here but agree with Texpope:  without some respectable starting pitching, they are going nowhere.

Bob Elam Bob-in-TX
Feb 19 '18

He's a very good baseball player some years ... others, he's an OK baseball player.

WAR since his 2013 breakout - 3.5, 0.8, 3.6, 1.0, 4.0

That 3.5-4.0 WAR ballplayer is very good.  That 0.8-1.0 ballplayer ... not so much.

Average of 2.6 WAR over that time period.

Meanwhile, this creates one musical chair for Renfro, Pirela, Dickerson, and Cordoba to fight over.

If the Padres don't do anything else to improve that D-grade rotation because of financial constraints I'd say it's a very bad signing.

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Feb 19 '18

Does he have a no trade? That's a dealable contract if he doesn't, Slyke. If that has value.

Consider the qualifying offer is a just a few mill less than his annual take. 

Is Hosmer a star? No. He's a very good baseball player with some gate appeal. 

And he's getting screwed a little now by the old baseball rules and the new realities. Teams are smarter, and the players association has given the teams too many tools to constrain contracts.

But he's getting $105M guaranteed to play baseball for five years. He'll live.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Feb 19 '18

This contract tells me that baseball has changed.  No more paying $25-$30 million annually to a 38 year old.  Hosmer gets $21 million annually for 5 years.  Then at 33, he can opt-in to 3 more years at $13 million annually.  Good on the Padres.

And for Royals fans, it's over.  Rebuild now.

I hope my Astros and Natonals are paying attention.

Bob Elam Bob-in-TX
Feb 18 '18