Carlos Correa Houston Astros

Age: 27 (September 22, 1994) | 6' 4" | 215lbs. | Bats: Right SS-148
Tm Lg YEAR G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG BB% SO% BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
HOU AA 2017 2 10 2 3 0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 .300 .300 .400 0 10 .333 n/a
HOU AAA 2017 4 14 1 4 1 4 0 0 0 4 0 0 .286 .312 .286 6 25 .364 n/a
HOU AL 2017 109 422 82 133 53 92 25 1 24 84 2 1 .315 .391 .550 11 19 .352 48/20/32 24 24
HOU AAA 2018 5 16 1 3 2 5 1 0 1 2 0 0 .188 .278 .438 11 28 .200 n/a
HOU AL 2018 110 402 60 96 53 111 20 1 15 65 3 0 .239 .323 .405 11 24 .282 44/20/36 12 12
HOU AAA 2019 6 21 2 7 3 5 3 0 0 2 0 0 .333 .417 .476 13 21 .438 n/a
HOU AL 2019 75 280 42 78 35 75 16 1 21 59 1 0 .279 .358 .568 11 23 .303 39/21/40 14 13
HOU AL 2020 58 201 22 53 16 49 9 0 5 25 0 0 .264 .326 .383 7 22 .324 50/21/29 14 14
HOU AL 2021 148 555 104 155 75 116 34 1 26 92 0 0 .279 .366 .485 12 18 .308 42/24/35 23 24
Career 7yrs 752 2824 438 781 347 660 162 8 133 489 33 8 .277 .356 .481 11 20 .314 n/a
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It really shouldn't matter. The Astros have one of the more lucrative local TV contracts at $70M/yr. Granted, that's not close to the Dodgers, because they are about $100M ahead of everyone else.  The Astros were 6th in attendance. Again the Dodgers are way ahead of everyone else. Teams received over $50M in 2021. It will increase to ~70M per team in 2022. Teams like the Astros could support a $250M payroll pretty easily.

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Nov 9

I agree Eugene.  My point was that not knowing what the tax threshold will be complicates the idea of offering Correa, say, $40+ million AAV over 3-4 years.  That said, Verlander and Greinke are coming off the books, so maybe it doesn't matter.

Bob Elam Bob-in-TX
Nov 9

There is a near zero likelihood of the MLBPA agreeing to lower thresholds for the competitive balance tax (as it's now known). It wasn't a reasonable proposal by management. 

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Nov 9

Local sports radio commentary guys want the Astros to offer Correa 3 years at $120 million or 4/$160 and try to sell him on the AAV, years with his buds in a competitive window, and another FA payday at the end of the fairy tail.

I know it is always easier to recommend spending other people's money.  But I don't see a flaw in the logic.  One unknown and potential issue is the unsettled question of spending caps in the next CBA.  That is where AAV could hurt.

Bob Elam Bob-in-TX
Nov 9

Ken Davidoff in the Post:

CARLSBAD, Calif. — It will be the best of Hot Stove Leagues, it will be the worst of Hot Stove Leagues.

Check out The Post’s Top 40 free agents. That’s right, 40. Longtime readers of this feature will notice an uptick from the usual Top 30. This class features so many enticing names, so many players you know well and want to know where they’re going, that the folks up at corporate signed off on the 33 percent increase, no small thing. Furthermore, many clubs, heartened by the return of full ballparks, appear ready to spend.

Alas, there’s a significant catch: On Dec. 1, the collective bargaining agreement between Major League Baseball and the MLB Players Association will expire, which will likely lead to an owners’ lockout, a de facto shutdown of the teams’ operations. Which means that we might have to wait until … the New Year? Feb. 1? Never?… for the two sides to hammer out a new deal, after which the fates of many here will be decided. Sigh.

These rankings result from statistical analysis, projected earnings and popular demand. These are not necessarily the 40 best free agents as much as the 40 most interesting to The Post’s readership. The predictions for destination and contract emanate from background conversations with team officials, agents and other people in the loop, as well as an attempt to think along with clubs and players and recognize industry trends and precedents.

1. Carlos Correa (SS, Age 27)

The best of this rich shortstop class, he deserves to break Francisco Lindor’s shortstop record ($341 million) with the Mets.

Prediction: Tigers, 10 years, $350 million

https://nypost.com/2021/11/07/top-mlb-free-agents-2022-rankings-and-predictions

Alex Patton Alex
Nov 8

That would make Correa the 8th highest paid player in MLB in terms of $/year ... and he'd only be 32 when he reaches free agency again.  Perhaps this offer would be better than the same $/year for 10 years, if you assume that the salary inflation we see continues?

Phil Ponebshek Texpope
Nov 7

So today the Astros, in what I consder a PR stunt, offered him 5 years and $160 million.  Which is likely about half of what he would command on the open market, in terms of both years and dollars.  Wow, more than Altuve!!!! JFC.  

I am glad they refuse to overpay.  But c'mon, does Crane think we fans are morons?  Let the man go earn his market value, and end this sham of retaining him at that price.

Bob Elam Bob-in-TX
Nov 7

Extra points for his web gem.

 
 
Monday, November 1
Stathead logo & link to Stathead.com home page
Adam DuvallCarlos CorreaYuli GurrielAustin RileyKendall Graveman

Yesterday's Top Performers

Batters:

Adam Duvall* (ATL): 1-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 1 R

Carlos Correa* (HOU): 3-5, 2 RBI, 1 R

Yuli Gurriel* (HOU): 3-5, 1 RBI, 2 R

Austin Riley* (ATL): 3-4, 1 R

Freddie Freeman (ATL): 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI, 1 R

Kyle Tucker (HOU): 1-3, 2 R

Alex Patton Alex
Nov 1

Astros owner Jim Crane's attitude seems to be that "sure, we'd like Carlos back, but we ain't gonna break the bank to do it."  Am I'm glad that he feels that way.

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2021/10/astros-owner-jim-crane-discusses-correa-verlander-gurriel-baker.html

I'd be really shocked if comes back.

Bob Elam Bob-in-TX
Oct 9

I'm betting that Correa moves on. Can and will Houston commit to that level of spending when Pedro Leon isn't that far off? Reuniting with AJ Hinch in Detroit makes a whole lot of sense. 

Tim McLeod tlmcleod
Oct 9