Comments

The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

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I'd guess that Klesko was about the 130th most valuable hitter in the draft ... to get him with the 167th pick is ... valuable ... but every other team passed on him about 3 times ... probably locked out by position?  ... and/or "strategy" (ie. I'm going to try to win by some other strategy than take-the-best-player-available).

I still think the lesson here is ... your odds of winning if you punt a category are less than 1-in-12 ... and if you punt two categories, they are a lot less than 1-in-12 ... BUT ... to be fair ... both the 2nd and 3rd place teams punted 2 categories ... so ...

Howard Lynch LynchMob
May 14

With the eighth pick in the last round, Jeff Erickson looked like he bathed himself in Yoohoo for the second time in three tries, jumping from fifth (or thereabouts) with the pick of Russ Springer.

Russ Springer!

And then, with the tenth pick in the last round, Fred Zinkie jumped from fifth (or thereabouts) to first -- by nine points -- with the pick of Ryan Klesko.

Wow! What an ending. 

I have no idea how it happened.

I missed a lot of the action; I suspect if I had watched every pick, I still wouldn't know.

Hopefully, Peter, who finished third, will tell us in due course.

I'm sure he's pretty tired. It's an exhausting 3 1/2 hours.

Alex Patton Alex
May 14

Doug Dennis looks like he's punted batting average (2 pts) and he's batting .293!

Alex Patton Alex
May 14

In Round 14 eight teams have batting averages of .300 or better. When it's all over more will.

Alex Patton Alex
May 14

Thank you for the succinct synopsis.  If I have to read "it'll look bad if millionaires and billionaires can't agree" again, like this particular issue is just intransigence from both sides, I'll barf.

Mike Landau ML-
May 14

Thru 5 rounds, Peter has taken 4 pitchers ... hmmm ... I'll say it ... "I don't like it" ... we shall see ... if the depth of hitting is there, and the pitching value is very top heavy, then he's in GREAT shape ... I have not looked at the distributions enough to have a feel ... it's fun to watch the standings evolve ...

UPDATE: Now 5 pitchers thru 6 rounds ... on the other hand, someone has already taken Omar Daal and Pete Harnish ... so ... good pitchers seem VERY likely hard to find from here on out ... clearly that works to Peter's favor ...

UPDATE: Now 6 pitchers thru 7 rounds ... and 15 of the last 20 picks have been pitchers ... 

UPDATE: Thru 8 rounds, Peter is last in HRs, RsBI, and Rs ... and in first place overall ... (with 76 points)

UPDATE: Thru 9 rounds, dropped 3 points and 1 place (ie. 2nd place with 73 points)

Howard Lynch LynchMob
May 14
Roger Cedeno St. Louis Cardinals

I totally forgot how good this guy was in 1999 ...

Howard Lynch LynchMob
May 14

I have the #1 pick next week and being an old 'Spos fan I'm not sure which direction I'll be going. I sure would have liked to have seen that rotation anchored by Pedro and RJ for about five years. Have fun tonight, Peter!

Tim McLeod tlmcleod
May 13
Micah Owings Washington Nationals

I love pitchers who can hit!  What a season 2007 was ... an ERA+ of 111 and an OPS+ of 152!  I wonder why he didn't try to pull an Ankiel and try to make it as a hitter (or maybe that's what was going on in 2013 ... hitting at the MLB level is hard)?

A member of the 2005 Tulane Green Wave that knocked the Jacoby Ellsbury-led Oregon St Beavers out of the CWS (the year before winning back-to-back in 2006 + 2007) ... 

Howard Lynch LynchMob
May 13
Will Smith Atlanta Braves
Wednesday, May 13Read in Browser.
Stathead logo & link to Stathead.com home page

Baseball-Reference OOTP Simulation Check-In

PITCHING

WAR: Gerrit Cole, NYY; Max Scherzer, WSN - 2.3
WPA: Walker Buehler, LAD; Madison Bumgarner, ARI - 1.9
ERA: Carlos Martinez, STL - 1.91
WHIP: Walker Buehler, LAD - 0.654
SO: Max Scherzer, WSN - 87
SV: Will Smith, ATL - 13
Holds: Keone Kela, PIT - 9

See league leaders at Baseball-Reference.com

Alex Patton Alex
May 13
Ketel Marte Arizona Diamondbacks

Baseball-Reference OOTP Simulation Check-In

BATTING 

WAR: Francisco Lindor, CLE - 3.3
WPA: Kris Bryant, CHC - 2.7
BA: Ketel Marte, ARI - .367
OPS: Juan Soto: WSN - 1.150
Hits: Ozzie Albies, ATL - 68
HR: Nolan Arenado, COL - 16
SB: Mallex Smith, SEA - 24

Alex Patton Alex
May 13
Micah Owings Washington Nationals

Stathead Spotlight: Jim Tobin

10+ total bases in a game, as a pitcher (since 1904)

PlayerDateTmHHRTBRBI
Jim Tobin1942‑05‑13BSN33124
Micah Owings2007‑08‑18ARI42116
Jack Harshman1958‑09‑23BAL32103
Jack Wilson1940‑06‑16 (2)BOS42102
Red Ruffing1936‑06‑17 (1)NYY42102
Babe Ruth1918‑05‑09BOS50100

See the full list at Stathead.com's Batting Game Finder

Alex Patton Alex
May 13
Joey Votto Cincinnati Reds

What was Joey doing differently eight years ago?


Wednesday, May 13Read in Browser.
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Baseball Reference Launches Stathead Tools

Baseball Reference is excited to announce the debut of the most powerful set of publicly available research tools in the game. We're calling it Stathead and you can sign up for a free month of access here. These tools may be familiar to some of our users from the Play Index and long-time newsletter subscribers who enjoy our Play Index Spotlights. If you're a current Play Index subscriber, your Play Index login will also work on Stathead.

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You can read more about all the tools included in Stathead at our Sports Reference Blog.

Fred LewisJoey VottoMickey MantleCorey KluberJim O'Toole

May 13 All-Time Top Performers

Batters:

Fred Lewis* (SFG, 2007): 5-6, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 3 R, cycle

Joey Votto* (CIN, 2012): 4-5, 3 HR, 6 RBI, 4 R

Mickey Mantle* (NYY, 1955): 4-4, 3 HR, 5 RBI, 3 R

Fred Lynn (BOS, 1980): 4-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI, 2 R, cycle

Willie Mays (SFG, 1958): 5-5, 2 HR, 4 RBI, 4 R, 1 SB

Bobby Doerr (BOS, 1947): 4-6, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 3 R, cycle

Johnny Mize (STL, 1940): 3-5, 3 HR, 4 RBI, 4 R

Jim Tobin (BSN, 1942): 3-4, 3 HR, 4 RBI, 3 R

Tim Salmon (CAL, 1994): 5-5, 2 HR, 5 RBI, 4 R

Tim Wallach (MON, 1990): 4-6, 2 HR, 8 RBI, 4 R

Pitchers:

Corey Kluber* (CLE, 2015): 8.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 18 K, 98 GmSc

Jim O'Toole (CHW, 1967): 10.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 1 BB, 11 K, 98 GmSc

Sandy Koufax (LAD, 1965): 9.0 IP, 0 ER, 3 H, 0 BB, 13 K, 94 GmSc

Curt Simmons (PHI, 1952): 9.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 H, 2 BB, 12 K, 93 GmSc

Mat Latos (SDP, 2010): 9.0 IP, 0 ER, 1 H, 0 BB, 6 K, 91 GmSc

* - pictured above



Alex Patton Alex
May 13

Don't tip your hand Peter!

No, those are the two best and it's a long drop to No. 3. Peter almost won Round 2, is the odds-on favorite to win to win Round 3.

No pressure.

Alex Patton Alex
May 13

I believe we're starting at 8pm tonight, drafting 1999. I have the second pick, which should be Randy Johnson. Could be Pedro Martinez, they're a close 1-2.

Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
May 13

What does "tomorrow at 8" mean?  I think it's "tomorrow at 9:30" and I'm not seeing any updates in that spreadsheet ...

Howard Lynch LynchMob
May 13

And, where it's even more disingenuous and why I was calling Olney out as a mouthpiece of the owners, in exchange he was proposing that any player who felt unsafe would have the ability to opt-out and not play this year, but not lose their contract in the process.  That dismisses the actual health and safety issues that the players who would be playing are dealing with.  It also sets up a situation of peer pressure to get everyone to play because some are and some aren't.  

Why don't you give up your family for three months, your own personal safety, and in return, we will pay you less than you and your union have already agreed.  Seems like a fair deal, right?

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
May 13

Here's the problem.  The owners always hide revenues.  They lie about expenses.  These are all privately owned businesses with no public disclosure requirements.  

This is the shock doctrine as described by Naomi Klein in her book.  MLB has been trying to get the MLBPA to agree to a salary cap/revenue split concept similar to the NFL and NBA for decades.  Now that there is a crisis, they are trying to implement it.  There's no reason for the players to agree to it now or ever.

I got in a back and forth with Buster Olney last week on twitter when he floated the exact same proposal.  It was so obvious to me that it was a leaked management plan, but he kept saying I didn't read the article and he was concerned about player health, didn't I know that.  If I didn't it was because I hadn't read the article.  The premise was that the players should just agree "for the good of the game."

On the flip side, why don't the owners just take a loss this year, like every business, for the good of the game.

As a matter of fact, this is a mandatory subject of bargaining.  It's pay.  And, twice, the owners and players have agreed on pay.  First in the existing CBA and second in the MOU at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic when the season was suspended.  At that time the owners and player agreed to pro-rated salaries.  It's foreclosed, because the subject is already covered by an existing agreement.  There is no duty to reopen that agreement.  It has to be mutually reopened.  The owners don't like the deal they struck, too bad.  Why should the players accept less?  So the owners make a profit?  Too bad.  When the owners make more the players don't reopen the CBA to insist on more.  This is the same thing.  It's a contract and there is no obligation to reopen.

Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
May 13
Jake Lamb Arizona Diamondbacks

Jake Lamb (3B) AZ - May. 12

https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/player.php?id=740919

Lamb could become Arizona's designated hitter if MLB adopts a universal DH for all teams in an abbreviated 2020 season, Mike Axisa of CBS Sports reports.

ROTOWIRE RECOMMENDS: A shift to universal DH gives Lamb a path to more consistent at-bats than he would have received in a normal season. He dealt with an injury in 2018, then lost a full-time job in 2019, but the left-handed hitting Lamb has a career .814 OPS against right-handers. At the very least, he could become the lefty portion of a DH platoon, possibly with Kevin Cron, a minor-league masher that's belted 44 home runs at Triple-A Reno and Arizona in 2019. 

Alex Patton Alex
May 13

It makes sense, since there won't be a minor league season, for all the promising prospects, no matter how far down, to be on the taxi squad, it not the expanded active roster.

There will be a lot of 60-day ILs.


Carlson (OF) STL - May. 12

https://www.rotowire.com/baseball/player.php?id=740915

Carlson is considered "a lock" for the big-league club this coming regular season now that expanded rosters are strongly expected to be implemented, Mark Saxon of The Athletic reports.

ROTOWIRE RECOMMENDS: Saxon adds that the one challenge attached to getting the promising 21-year-old into the big-league ranks this season is the fact he's not on the 40-man roster. That means bringing Carlson into the fold will necessitate another player being removed from the 40-man or getting placed on the 60-day injured list. Nevertheless, it appears highly likely the organization will opt to take this step, which will give Carlson a potential head start on a big-league career that otherwise may not have begun until September at the earliest if the season had unfolded normally. Although Carlson has only logged 79 plate appearances at the Triple-A level, Rick Hummel of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports he's already made a significant impression  on the major-league coaching staff, including former outfielder Willie McGee. "Oh, man. Hits the ball hard from both sides of the plate. Runs better than it looks,"McGee said. "Outstanding outfielder. Just a good athlete. And the most impressive thing about him is that he's a lot more mature than his age. He's ahead of the game, mentally, knowing situations." 

Alex Patton Alex
May 13

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