Recent Comments

Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!
Finished relatively strong last year. Still VERY young for a catcher--hitting skills generally develop later. Has always had a lot of hype as an ex-Yank prospect--now enough time has passed for they hype to dwindle a bit. Catching talent is thin in the AL--what's the upside on this guy?
Thomas Odom Mendoza
Jan 27 '08
Geovany Soto Chicago White Sox
A 26 HR explosion in the PCL at age 24 doesn't really tickle my fancy here. A 93/54 K/W is encouraging, but to me, it implies that he gets his bat on the ball, and in the majors, those long PCL flies are outs.

On the other hand, he is (at least as of now) a starting catcher, and you need to bid accordingly.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Jan 27 '08
Apparently, lots of scouts who watched him were very impressed with both the way he bulked up, and the ability he showed at the plate. Not without risk, certainly, but I think going $5 to $9 is a good play. Certainly a mid-level NL catcher with some power . . .
mike fenger mike
Jan 27 '08
His 2007 explosion came out of nowhere. Never hit more than 9 HR's in any ML season, so few expected him to hit 26 in AAA and 3 more with the Cubs last year. Looks like he will be their opening day starting catcher. His minor league scan is not impressive, which is why the Cubs never viewed him as more than a back-up catcher at best.

A lot of folks like him and think he could be a top NL roto catcher this year and a steal on draft day. I am not convinced. One good year in the PCL is not enough to excite me, sorry. Definitley worth a couple of bucks bid on draft day based on starting status, but don't get into a bidding war for a guy with his light resume.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 27 '08
Scott Rolen Cincinnati Reds
I saw Rolen play a few times last year at Busch, and I have to say that he just didn't seem like he had his heart in it at times. Little wonder with the constant barrage of speculation and jabs at him and LaRussa in the Post-Dispatch.

That said, mentally the guy likely has some things to look forward to in 2008. He's out of St. Louis now, and all indications (waive of the NTC; public comments regarding LaRussa) are he was excited about it.

Regarding adjustment to the AL, he has his former defensive tandem partner Eckstein to work with. They might not have been best friends, but their familiarity with each other's defensive strengths and weaknesses have to give Rolen a bit more confidence on the field. And at least on three occaisions, hes told the media that his shoulder feels great and range of motion has returned. As RotoMan mentioned, here's a case where looking at Rolen's power-related numbers in spring training may be a helpful indicator for the year. But that may be too late for many teams drafting early.

Overall, I believe there is room for cautious optimism here. The 5x5 here is $20, but you might not have to go that far given the uncertainty of his status. At 32, the chances of re-capturing 2004 are likely gone forever. If you can get him for $14 or $15 and receive 2006 numbers, it's golden. Whatever value you set as your limit, be firm, especially if you're risk aversive.

Shawn Douglas ShawnD
Jan 27 '08
Roy Oswalt Colorado Rockies
Both Mike's and Toz's comments ring true with me as well. I view 2007 as a hiccup for Oswalt and expect him to bounce back to put up numbers similar to 2004-06. Bid confidently.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 27 '08
Erik Bedard Tampa Bay Rays
Mike is right on with his comments. In our league there is a good chance Bedard goes for $33-$35. If he gets dealt to Seattle, that might go up a tick or two.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 27 '08
Jeremy Bonderman Seattle Mariners
I agree with Mike. Based on my previous comment, I am a fan of Bonderman and think he will be worth a $10 gamble.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 27 '08
Sam Fuld Oakland Athletics
Eye-catching numbers in the Arizona Fall League (.402 BA, .626 SA, 10-for-12 in SB) didn't impress the people who actually saw him enough for Fuld to be voted among the league's top 20 propects. I'm sorry I wasn't there to see him go 1-for-2 in his last game, then get taken out for a pinch-runner to get a round of applause from the 20 people in the park who weren't scouts.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 27 '08
Erik Bedard Tampa Bay Rays
My own personal bid is ridiculous for a pitcher who hasn't thrown 200 innings in a season yet, but I want Erik Bedard, and the bid I've currently got on my sheet is what I know it's going to take. You might get Bedard with Alex's $26 bid, but in Stage Three everyone's got their eye on this guy. If you really want him, you're going to have to really push the envelope.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 27 '08
John Lackey Chicago Cubs
One thing to keep in mind, too, is that it's not a knock on Lackey, but the fact that we only have so much money to go around on pitching. I just completed my own 4x4 bids for A.L. pitchers, and I've got 8 starters at $20+. Given that 14 A.L. starters in 2007 cracked $20 that sounds tough, but 12 starters broke the $20 barrier but only 6 starters got a $20+ bid from Alex last year. That's just the way it works. We cut and cut until our favorite 108 pitchers fit our league budgets.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 27 '08
Luke Hochevar Kansas City Royals
The 24 HR in 152 minor league innings last year is a red flag that simply cannot be ignored. The K/IP also dropped in his journey from Double-A to Triple-A. I'd agree with Slyke that Hochevar isn't ready yet, though that doesn't mean the Royals won't rush him up the ladder again and stick him in the rotation come June.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 27 '08
Francisco Liriano Toronto Blue Jays
Liriano's the kind of guy you put a placeholder bid of $10 on and watch to see if he's healthy in Spring Training. The problem isn't going to be how good he is, it will be how many innings he pitches. We all know the drill. 120 IP from Liriano could still be worth $20.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 27 '08
Felix Hernandez Baltimore Orioles
I have to agree with Slyke and Toz here. I'll go to about $15 on Felix, which means that I won't be owning him. Someone's going to pay $20 or more, and there, and for every horse who puts it all together when he's 22 or 23, there are three who don't figure it out until they're 24 or 25, and three more who have solid careers but don't put it all together ever. The numbers don't say ace yet, and I'm not paying him like one until they do.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 27 '08
Jeremy Bonderman Seattle Mariners
If you want to take the ride, you're going to have to go to $10. It's a risk, to be sure, but it's the kind of risk that could win the league if you're right and won't lose it for you if you're wrong.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 27 '08
Francisco Liriano Toronto Blue Jays
Liriano was a HUGE injury risk when he was traded to Minnie. That is the reason why he was a throw in. He may prove me wrong but given that he's already had major shoulder/elbow injuries so early in his career, I wouldn't bet on it.
E Park yoda
Jan 27 '08
Jorge Sosa Florida Marlins
He's not as good as he was in 2005, but also not as bad as he was in 2006. The Mets would be better off sticking Sosa in the #5 slot than paying Kyle Lohse millions of dollars to do the same thing.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 27 '08
In football, the older defensive backs warily eye the younger, stronger, faster kids in camp, knowing that their jobs are on the line as time marches on. Baseball doesn't quite have the same equivalent, but I'm sure Emil Brown is going to be watching Carlos Gonzalez spray line drives in camp and wonder if he'll make it through a full season in Oakland as their left fielder. Brown might earn $15, but you'd better not bid $15. Insist on profits here, and definitely don't set yourself for a loss.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 27 '08
John Lackey Chicago Cubs
He was luckier last year than he was good, though he was, indeed, good. Just not great. I won't even get him at that $24 price; I've got him a few ticks lower.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 27 '08
Matt Cain San Francisco Giants
Five picks, no pans in Rotoman's Guide.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 27 '08

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