Recent Comments

Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!
Brian Roberts New York Yankees
Speed kills. PEDs give life. And not just power. All those pitchers are not shooting PEDs to hit the ball farther--they keep the body
strong and (paradoxically) healthy and enable a basestealer to heal faster, run faster, and boost his fantasy value. I recommend PEDs to all my players.
Bruce BUSCHEL BBGUN
Feb 1 '08
If the tougher PED testing has any effect at all, it will be in Roberts' power numbers. The 12 HR last year were nice, but I'm not paying Brian Roberts to hit home runs.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
David Ortiz Boston Red Sox
I've given my bid a $2 bump, one for each comment.
Alex Patton Alex
Feb 1 '08
Brian Roberts New York Yankees
The tougher PEDs testing (or perceived tougher testing) doesn't scare anyone?
Alex Patton Alex
Feb 1 '08
Reggie Willits Los Angeles Angels
He had more than half his AB in the second half, when he batted .222. Get him as your fifth OF for $3 and you'll be very happy. If you have to go to my bid limit to get him, you've screwed up your end game.
Alex Patton Alex
Feb 1 '08
Mike Napoli Cleveland Guardians
You've both made believers out of me. I've added $2 to his bid.
Alex Patton Alex
Feb 1 '08
I am intrigued by the fact that the extra base hits for Guerrero in the last 4 years are : 80 (his $43 year), 63, 68, 73. His average and OBP have all hovered in the same range, and his slugging percentage has dropped from an insane .598 to .547.

Nagging injuries seem to be the problem with Guerrero here. I don't believe the speed is going to come back at this point; Guerrero is too valuable to the lineup to get hurt running the bases; 5-8 is not out of the question. I agree with Mike, though; if Guerrero is healthy, I think we need to slot 30-35 HR back in the HR column, and, suddenly, $33 is too low.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Feb 1 '08
$30+ earnings with only 2 SB. Nevertheless, the downward march of SLG has to be a concern. And his SB days are gone for good.
Alex Patton Alex
Feb 1 '08
David Ortiz Boston Red Sox
There are some people who believe that the power dropoff last year might be a post-steroid dropoff. Looking at Ortiz, the closest thing to a steroid he has been near is a hot dog and a Sam Adams.

Keep in mind that the knee injury plagued him just about all year last year. He had the talent to adjust - Ortiz didn't hit .332 by accident. And, despite the legs being out from under him, he still hit 35 HR.

Bid limit here needs to be $34. I might say $35.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Feb 1 '08
Brian Roberts New York Yankees
Will the 50SB Brain Roberts please stand up! 2005 and 2007 are the years you want from Roberts; 2006, however seems to be equally as likely. I agree with Mike - if you are in AL only 4x4, I think you need a couple of more ticks for your bid limit since speed is going to be hard to find.

I am encouraged by the slow, yet steady, improvement in K/W over time... if that OBP stays where it was in '05 and '07, that will bode well for his SB totals.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Feb 1 '08
Moises Alou New York Mets
Any league with a reserve list needs to have Alou on the active roster while healthy. The earnings scan shows the steady decline, but the decline is not a "fall off the table" decline. I have him a couple of ticks lower for 5x5 than Mike, but it will take at least $10-11 to get him.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Feb 1 '08
26 walks in 645 AB is a huge improvement over 1 walk in 126 AB. My bet is he keeps improving, though there will be rough spots. If they don't land him in jail he'll be very good by the time he's 25.

That said, the risk is high enough that Alex's bid seems aggressive enough. If someone wants to go higher, let them.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Feb 1 '08
Moises Alou New York Mets
Better to kiss them off a year early rather than a year late, Mr. Rickey said. I'd certainly go to three on Moises if I had to in my mixed league, but the chance that you'll get nothing from the oldest baseball age 41 year old you're likely to find on a field this year, a player with a rugged injury history, is way too high to count on anything at all. I'll stick with picking him off in the end game.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Feb 1 '08
Brian Roberts New York Yankees
Speed will be at a premium in the A.L. this year. I don't know if Roberts will steal 50 again in 2008. But he'll have the green light, he's at a tough position to fill, and he should once again be healthy. Tick him up higher if you need the speed.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Reggie Willits Los Angeles Angels
My mixed league bid price ($6 at present) indicates that I agree with BB. Willits is a good bet to look like he's been squeezed out of playing time, but will find the at bats (and the steals). But until the squeeze in Anaheim is released it's a good idea to consider Willits something of a sleeper. Worth an extra buck or three more than nothing, but not someone to go out on a limb for (especially in a mixed league).
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Feb 1 '08
David Ortiz Boston Red Sox
DH or no, the bid has to be higher for a guy who has averaged $36 worth of earnings the last three seasons.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
In 159 AB as a DH last year, he hit 10 HR and drove in 36. He also only hit .270. I predict the power returns this year. Even if the steals don't, I'm going past that $33 bid limit. I'll gladly pay $35+ for a guy who shows nothing but $30+ earnings in the scan.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Kelvim Escobar New York Mets
Just to nitpick- Hunter was slightly above average in CF last year, stolen homeruns included, Vlad is well below average, and Matthews is an unknown commodity if he's playing LF, although his range should be good out there as long as he can make the transition to the corner and get good jumps.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 31 '08
Reggie Willits Los Angeles Angels
There are a few teams in need of centerfielders. Willits could help them all. Batting first or, even better, second. He may be the perfect number two-hole hitter in all of baseball. He averaged 4.4 pitches per at-bat--the highest figure in the AL-- and was fourth in the league with 11 sac bunts. He lets the lead-off man steal a base, he makes the defense shuffle, he makes the pitcher work. Mike Napoli said he ought to wear 32 "because every count seems to go 3-2."

He earned chump change in the real world last year, $382,500.
But $17 in my 4x4 league. And he was hurt!

He will find his way into some lineup up somehow.



Bruce BUSCHEL BBGUN
Jan 31 '08
Moises Alou New York Mets
In mixed leagues that have taxi squads, I'd go a lot higher than $1 for Moises. When he's in the lineup, he produces. The taxi squads in mixed leagues have very capable replacements.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 31 '08

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