Recent Comments

Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!
Josh Fields Los Angeles Dodgers
My bid's currently sitting at $15. It may or may not go up when Crede's traded in March. The average and K/W obviously concern me, but unlike a lot of young hitters we overpay because the power's "sure to come this year", Fields's power is already here.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Jorge Posada New York Yankees
That .338 BA last year looks like an aberration to me...a 61 point increase over his career BA at 35 was a surprise indeed. I would not expect near that again. His average season over his career is 21/83/.279, which is about a $15-$16 season.

I don't think this bid is pessimistic per se, but rather very realistic for a 36 year old catcher.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Feb 1 '08
I don't think Ryan Garko's going to get that much better. But I do think he'll get a little better, and I'm more partial to Garko's power than Youkilis's ability to draw a walk and hit a double. I'd pay a little more for a guy who would have been in the majors earlier except for the fact that he was blocked.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
The Rays have said they plan to move Iwamura to second base in 2008, whether Longoria is ready or not. Had some injury problems, but was pretty disappointing offensively after looking at his numbers in Japan.

I think he could be an interesting player this year. I understand power in Japan does not equate to power in the states, but he was coming off consecutive 44, 30 and 32 HR seasons, so you had to expect more that 7 HR's from him in 2007. Now that he has a year in the U.S. under his belt and is more accustomed to the pitchers here, he should improve upon his numbers this year. It took a year for Matsui to find his power stroke once coming over, and he increased his HR total by 15 in his second year. While I don't expect Iwamura to hit 31 HR's like Matsui did that year, I do expect a nice spike in power in year two.

Look for those HR's to double in 2008, and maybe even exceed that; 15-16 possibly. The RBI's should rise as well. He was not much of base stealer in Japan - 15 SB in 21 attempts was his top year, but when you are hitting 30-40 HR's a year, you are probably not asked to run as much - so not sure if you can expect the double digits SB's again in 2008.

The bid limit is in line, but I think Iwamura could be a surprise and I will be targeting him if he is not kept in my AL 4x4.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Feb 1 '08
Jorge Posada New York Yankees
It's a pessimistic price, but I could see why you're not going to break the bank on Jorge Posada. He enters his Age 36 season, and it always gets dicey for catchers in their late 30s. Still, you might want to move up the price a few ticks. Taking a $3-5 loss on a catcher isn't as important as getting $15-20 worth of stats from a position where offense is always dicey.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Hideki Matsui Oakland Athletics
Throw out the broken wrist season of 2006 and and he has been the model of consistency since coming over from Japan. You can mark him down for 20-25 HR's, 100 RBI and a .285-.300 BA each year.

Oddly has suffered injuries in back-to-back seasons (hammy injury last year in April caused him to miss a couple weeks) after his consectuve games streak ended.

He was streaky last year (huge July where he hit 13 of his 25 HR's - 1.146 OPS) and a poor September hurt his final line.

A $24 bid is solid, and one of the safer options out there.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Feb 1 '08
The bids seem right on. Should be good for at least 20 long flies. You hope he keeps that average north of .250 and if he does, he shouldn't hurt you at these prices.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Feb 1 '08
Ian Kinsler San Diego Padres
Might be a good guy to gamble on, I think, if you miss out on Utley or Cano while the rest of the league overpays for Phillips and Upton.
Jurgen Maas Jurgen
Feb 1 '08
Felix Hernandez Baltimore Orioles
Definitely fewer. With his ridiculous stuff and command, he should not be giving up over H per IP.

He has the skills it's obvious. Show me another 22 yo with his array of stuff and command that is an extreme ground ball pitcher. Decent run support, great bullpen and park/division makes him a very attractive pitcher.
E Park yoda
Feb 1 '08
I'm surprised that he didn't go to a team where he would haev a chance to play. His skills seem to be deteriorating fast but still has some pop in his bat. Playing time obviously is key but could surprise in the powerful lineup.
E Park yoda
Feb 1 '08
Ian Kinsler San Diego Padres
A lot to like about this guy. BABIP suggests that he was a bit unlucky and his K/BB are very solid so the AVG should come up. Not many 2B have 20/20 potential and he seems almost like a lock to get this. The only thing slowing him down is the various injuries so far.
E Park yoda
Feb 1 '08
Vernon Wells New York Yankees
Well said Jurgen. He is still young and we know why he struggled in 06.
E Park yoda
Feb 1 '08
Sean Casey Boston Red Sox
ESPN is reporting he has agreed to a one-year deal with the Red Sox.

Doesn't appear to have too many AB's in his future with Red Sox. Probably have to knock his bid down to $2-$3.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Feb 1 '08
He's useful in Fantasy, but paying $25 makes me home that I'm getting a player who is on the cusp of the elites. While it's possible that Young suddenly sees a power spike, it's also possible in his age 22 season that he might simply continue to do what he's been doing: make good contact despite the poor K/W rate but not find the power stroke for another couple of years. I know my bid won't get him, but I've seen too many young, hyped players play decently but not live up to the elite expectations that they're supposed to live up to from Day One.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Mike Lowell Boston Red Sox
The batting average should drop. But Lowell's still going to get a ton of RBI opportunities in that line-up and he seems pretty comfortable in Beantown, now that he's gotten whatever the hell it was that was bothering him in 2005 out of the way. I'd settle in somewhere between Fenger's bid and Alex's. If he splits the difference between 2004 and 2006, which is a reasonable expectation, I'd be pretty happy with Lowell.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Signed to a minor league contract by the Yankees.

Not sure how he fits in with Betemit and Duncan both reserves at the CO spots. I assume if he makes the team Duncan would be sent down.

Can't see him as more than $1 bid.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Feb 1 '08
Jermaine Dye Chicago White Sox
He seemed back on track Post All-Star, so I have to attribute his first-half swoon to a statistical abberation, and not any sign that he's slowing down. I'm inclined to think that he could come close to putting up his 2005 numbers, and am willing to bid like he is. One problem is that he fought through a lot of minor aches and pains last year, and those minor aches and pains have a way of piling up as you push into your 30s.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
Ian Kinsler San Diego Padres
I with Mike Fenger on Kinsler. He's a young player who hopefully will get another 15-20 games in next year, and he has an outside chance of being a 30-30 threat. His splits are dramatic, though. A 921 OPS at home vs. a 675 on the road concerns me a little, though Kinsler will still get to play half his games in Arlington. A larger concern is the fact that he pounded lefties (999 OPS in 115 AB) and scuffled against righties (732 in 368 AB). He was fine against right-handers in 2006, so I'm hoping this was just a one-year abberation, and not the beginning of a trend.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08
This is exactly the kind of player who messes me up in Roto: wildly overrated year in real baseball (sub-.725 OPS for a corner OF??), extremely useful in fantasy.

My innards revolt every time I start bidding on one of these guys, and inevitably I end up pulling out of the auction much earlier than they're worth.
Jurgen Maas Jurgen
Feb 1 '08
Victor Martinez Detroit Tigers
For the second year in a row, his HRs dropped quite a bit Post All-Star. I'm reluctant to chase V-Mart to that bid price, not because I don't think he can earn it, but because he needs more time at DH or 1B to do so, and I don't think either Garko or Hafner are good candidates to sit all that much in 2008.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 1 '08

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