Recent Comments

Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!
Bobby Abreu Philadelphia Phillies
I have to agree with you on the $27 Rotoman - I think it is unlikely you get him for less, and in an inflation keeper league, I think he's a $30 play. I'm just not sure that I want to be that guy. Keep in mind that the steals are beginning to decline along with the HRs. That cannot be a good sign.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Jan 23 '08
Melvin Upton Jr. San Francisco Giants
Keep in mind, too, that Upton missed some time in 2007 due to injury. He could earn $40, though I do expect the average to drop a little. Still, $35 is a reasonable bid.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 23 '08
Octavio Dotel Detroit Tigers
He's always seemed more comfortable as a setup guy, Mike Timlin is another who comes to mind, but I guess Octavio also had plenty of reasons to accept the less glamorous role.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jan 23 '08
White Sox signed RHP Octavio Dotel, who had been with the Braves, to a two-year, $11 million contract.

I'm surprised to see him settle for set-up. One of the better potential closers still on the market.
Thomas Odom Mendoza
Jan 22 '08
Albert Pujols Los Angeles Dodgers
Albert now says that beside his usual leg problems, he played all year with a sore elbow--which explains the power drop off. He intimated at the Cards' Winter Warm Up this past weekend that, if the team stinks, he would NOT PLAY through another season like that. So if it looks like they're going nowhere, he's likley to shut it down and get the surgery to be 100% for 2009.
Lew Prince theoldfart
Jan 22 '08
Willie Mays San Francisco Giants
Writing a comment in the Norm Cash thread, I was surprised to find that the ERA and SA in the American League in 1961 were only slightly higher than the year before. So I checked out the NL in 1962, when the Senior Circuit followed the upstart American League into the uncharted waters of expansion.

The numbers for the National League as a whole:

1961: ERA 4.03, SA .405

1962: ERA 3.94, SA .393

Quite amazingly, there was less hitting in the NL expansion year.

Which of course makes Willie's great 1962 season even better. Yes, he played in eight more games, but in those eight games he seems to have hit nine homers and knocked in almost 20 runs.

He led the league in homers, the Giants won the pennant, and Maury Wills, who had 72 more steals than the runner-up in that department, was voted the MVP.

They must've had Rotisserie baseball back then.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 22 '08
Norm Cash Detroit Tigers
I guess it's always good to make someone laugh, although here I wasn't actually trying to be funny. I wasn't aware how Cash met his end, and certainly don't find that to be funny.

The baseball question to ponder is, did Maris, Mantle, Cash, Gentile, Colavito, Killebrew and a bunch of others that I'm sure I'm forgetting, go on home-run tears because of expansion?

It sure seems like they did. But in fact the ERA didn't rise all that much from 1960 to 1961. Slugging average rose even less.

1960: 3.87 ERA, .388 SA

1961: 4.02 ERA, .395 SA

The two expansion teams were weak (70 and 61 wins for the Angels and Rangers, respectively) but no weaker than two other teams (70 and 61 wins for the Twins and KC A's, respectively). It's fair to assume the better hitters in the AL punished the expansion pitchers with more vigor than the lesser hitters, but the HR "explosion" seems mainly to be an artifact of the longer season.

Which earned Maris his asterisk, which I agree was a joke.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 22 '08
He had a shoulder issue in 06 and an elbow problem in 07. Granted a lot of previous injuries in his minor days were mostly non-throwing, he does have a chronic back problem and the injuries he suffered in MLB are definitely throwing related. I'd say compared to his peers, he is a much higher injury risk.
E Park yoda
Jan 22 '08
Most of his injuries, absent some tendonitis last year, are non-throwing related (see: punching wall and breaking hand, etc. and so on). I think the injury concerns are unwarranted.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Jan 22 '08
Quietly had a nice year for Pittsburgh. Will be the everyday RF'er for the Pirates in '08 and should hit 5th behind Bay and LaRoche again. Because he plays for the Pirates you can probably get him for right around $10 and that should bring a solid ROI. A good bet for 20-25 HR's and 80 RBI.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 22 '08
Chuck James New York Mets
He recently revealed he was diagnosed with a slight tear in his rotator cuff following last season, which could explain some of his struggles.
32 HR's in 161 1/3 IP is cause for concern. He elected not to have surgery in the off-season and he is reporting no pain in his shoulder. I would be careful with my bid here...I would put my limit at $5-$6 based on the injury risk.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 22 '08
Alex is right; this guy can play. Just a great year in '07 and deserving of a mid-$30's bid. He might not get to 30/30 this year, but he will put up solid numbers all-around and could steal 40. Worth the investment.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 22 '08
Melvin Upton Jr. San Francisco Giants
The 154 K's in 129 games is a little worrisome, and I would expect the BA to dip this year into the .280 range. Overall, you have to like the upside at 22, and that power/speed combination for a guy who qualifies at MI this year will jack up his bid. $35 sounds about right to me.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 22 '08
Kelvim Escobar New York Mets
Health is key. He almost made it through the entire season and was very impressive until September. That chronic knee injury will always hold him back. I'm staying away.
E Park yoda
Jan 22 '08
Melvin Upton Jr. San Francisco Giants
Pretty damn impressive for someone who was 22 yo for most of the season. Ks are worrisome but he was a top player despite dealing with position changes and injuries (missed 30 games) in his first full MLB season. I don't expect him to hit .300 but the power/speed is definitely there. Expect more of the same.
E Park yoda
Jan 22 '08
Carl Crawford Los Angeles Dodgers
Crawford had never had a single season where he declined in BA, OBP, SLG, or OPS. Last year he dropped a bit in SLG, which of course set his OPS back slightly. The good thing is, relative to the AL last year, he actually improved his adjusted OPS and offensive winning percentage. He also kept stealing at an 83% rate.

Given his age, his power could spike in the next couple of years. I'd rather have him than any other AL batter this year and next.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 22 '08
I have Buck at $3 and will keep him at that price, but I am not expecting big things. If I can get his 2007 line again, I will be happy. Mike is correct; the scan shows he will likely not hit .250, making him a roto non-factor.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 22 '08
Jayson Nix Baltimore Orioles
The bid assumes Jayson makes the Opening Day roster but not as a starter. If he wins the second-base job, it looks like he can hold his own at the plate and swipe a few bases. Defense is supposedly solid.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 22 '08
Out of the ice box into the frying pan. In theory. Petco the worst place to hit in the majors last year (runs index 81, 9 points lower than next team ). Coors Field, humidor be damned, the best place to hit (runs index 119, 7 points higher than next team). In practice, Giles still has to win the job.

When/if he does, Mike and I will be coming back here to reconsider. Peter will likely put him on his mixed-league list.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 22 '08
He gets a mulligan due to the ankle injury he suffered before the season. Probably explains the drop in SBs.
E Park yoda
Jan 22 '08

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