Comments

The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!
Nick Swisher Atlanta Braves
With the change of scenery his HR numbers could reach 2006 levels again. His age is primed for a power spike as well. 5x5 he's solid since he's good for runs as well.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
DH only hurts his value a bit.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
Nick Markakis Atlanta Braves
Markakis, BJ Upton, Rios, and Sizemore are the new breed of higher end outfielders in the AL. If you don't include Markakis in the equation, someone gets a bargain. They're all 5 category guys who will play a lot of games.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
Torii Hunter Minnesota Twins
His defense has been declining. That's probably bad news for his steals long-term. Given his age, his power has peaked too. I'd be very wary of going over his 2003-2005 earned values.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
Carlos Pena Texas Rangers
A great fit for that park. Detroit was tough on him, so was Oakland. TB should keep the spring in his bat for a year or two after he actually loses it.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
Magglio Ordonez Detroit Tigers
Regression to the mean. Expect a repeat of 2006. That's definitely a good year, but it isn't an MVP season.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
Felix Hernandez Atlanta Braves
Good K/BB ratio. Incredibly young still for so many innings under his belt, but clearly not too many in any single year. If someone can teach him how to pitch we will be $30 all of a sudden and maybe even higher.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
J.D. Drew Boston Red Sox
The Bret Saberhagen of hitters?
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
Kenny Lofton Cleveland Indians
He's great for a Sweeney plan. Good average, still steals (in the first half of the season) and shouldn't cost too much. I wonder who will sign him.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
Scot Shields Los Angeles Angels
I bought him in 2003 based upon Alex's projection for him. He was $3. I kept him into 2004. I won my league both years. I'd never spend over $5-7 for a middle reliever, and most of the time I go no closers, so I haven't had him recently, but it could be buy time again. Then again, his walk rate increased while his K rate declined last year raising concerns going forward.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
Joe Mauer Minnesota Twins
His K/BB ratio is incredible especially given his height. If he can stay healthy he could be Tony Gwynn from the catcher position.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
Victor Martinez Detroit Tigers
His power should peak over the next two years and then start to fall off. Don't be the guy who doesn't get Victor and is upset and then overbids in 2010.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
Zack Greinke Houston Astros
Pitchers can usually go all out when they know they only need to last 1-2 innings. Greinke had 55 Ks in 54.1 IP as a reliever. He had only 51 Ks in 68.2 IP as a starter. Seems to me he has Jose Mesa syndrome and his main problem is stamina. The batting average against split is even more disturbing- .226 versus .292. The ERAs were much closer, but the components are not favorable if he's in the rotation. Bid accordingly.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
It's not unusual for a catcher to get tired in the heat of the summer. It obviously impacted him, but he never rebounded.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
His value comes from his ABs. If his defense slips or he has a nagging injury he loses all of his value. Batting average is what boots him up. While his low strikeout rate helps keep his average as high as it's been, if he comes in slightly heavier than previous years or has any leg injuries, keep the bid low.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
Hit .407 in the Arizona Fall League. With 2 doubles, 2 triples, 0 homers in 59 AB, he only slugged .508. Playing in 18 games in a 30-game season, he made the most of limited opportunities.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 12 '08
Andrew McCutchen Philadelphia Phillies
I notice the down year continued in the Arizona Fall League. Here's the complete report card, beginning with his ranking, friom Baseball America:

6. Andrew McCutchen, of, Phoenix (Pirates)

McCutchen had one of the most fascinating years of any top prospect in the minors— he struggled to find consistency at Double-A Altoona during the regular season and then wowed scouts with his tools and athleticism in the AFL, even though the numbers remained just average. A 70 runner on the 20-80 scouting scale, McCutchen profiles as a leadoff hitter who gets on base and wreaks havoc. Facing righthanders caused McCutchen fits in 2007, and he hit just .182 against them in the Fall League. Still, the Pirates feel he will make the adjustment to soft breaking balls away. A plus defender with closing speed in the middle of the diamond, McCutchen is still the Pirates' center fielder of the future.


He must have wailed on lefties, because in 98 AB overall he hit .286.

Alex Patton Alex
Jan 12 '08
Mark Teahen Washington Nationals
Would the real Mark Teahan please stand up. He didn't have much power in the minors, so maybe 2006 was a mirage. His BA and OBP were right in line and looked like his minor league projections.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
Alex Rodriguez New York Yankees
I think a good masochist discussion about the retention of value among the highest priced players being more likely than middle level players would be helpful for those new to your pricing theories.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08
Manny Ramirez Boston Red Sox
Better question, why is his 5x5 value higher than 4x4? His runs aren't what they used to be, mainly due to those games he misses due to age and injury.
Eugene Freedman EugeneFreed
Jan 12 '08

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