Comments

The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!
Miguel Tejada Kansas City Royals
I dunno, Peter. I see a guy with steadily declining SA since 2004.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 12 '07
Breaking news: Tejada lands in Houston, causing more magazine rewrites. Next year I'm cracking down on team references in the profiles.

He says he got out of focus because of the O's ineptitude and asked to end up with a winner. Why there is no chance that would be the Orioles is a sad story, though understandable given the Yanks and Red Sox dominance in the division. The Astros don't have that problem, and they have a strong lineup now.

If PEDs were the reason for his power shouldn't he have deflated in 2005 with testing?
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Dec 12 '07
Orlando Hudson Chicago White Sox
The estimable Baseball Forecaster looks at Orlando's Eye (what we call K/W) the last two years in Arizona, compares them to his years in Toronto, and comes to this conclusion: "Prefers the arid desert to the cold northern wilderness."

For more, much more (hit %, contact %, groundballs/line drives/fyballs) for Hudson's last five years, go to www.baseballhq.com. You'll discover that Eye is about the only thing that isn't consistent.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 12 '07
Mark Teahen Washington Nationals
Hit fewer flyballs but more line drives last year. In the second half, hit even more line drives and even fewer flyballs.

Whether he lined them or flied them, only two of the balls he connected with cleared the fence in the second half.

In other words, you were pathetic, Mark, and if you keep it up I hope you stay agile enough to be a utility infielder.

Bigger paycheck if you hit the weight room.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 12 '07
Juan Pierre Florida Marlins
Which brings up an interesting point. A truly dink hitter like Juan Pierre doesn't hit more doubles and triples in a pitcher's park. But I'm not sure that's the case for power hitters, who, I believe, get more doubles and triples even as their HR are reduced.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 12 '07
There has been a lot of grousing about the decline in power last year, but who buys Pierre for power? A dig deeper into the numbers reveals that this ground ball, line drive, fly ball rates were pretty much on target, so the question is whether they became 16 or so singles rather than eight doubles, five triples and three homers because of something that Pierre didn't do, or because things just worked out differently than usual. Look how closely 2007 in a pitchers park falls into line with 2005 in a pitchers park and you have my answer.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Dec 12 '07
Kelvim Escobar New York Mets
His Component ERA (as calculated in The Bill James Handbook 2008) was even better: 3.25. But, as we see, 200 IP seem just about beyond him. It's hard to picture him having a $30 year. On the other hand, if he stays reasonably healthy, he'll easily earn $20.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 9 '07
With Tommy John surgery in late July, he's a next-year play. And in just about every league will be available.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 9 '07
David Wright New York Mets
Some regression is always possible of course, but the 28 additional walks vs. two more strikeouts tells me the BA should still be fine. I think another (small) step up is as likely as a step back. And, that chance is worth paying for.
mike fenger mike
Dec 9 '07
Melvin Upton Jr. San Francisco Giants
I'm not saying you have to go to $35 for B.J. Upton. But you sure better hope someone does. And if you set a higher bid limit on a player who figures to be one of the very best outfielders in either league but will be a second baseman on your team, I can understand.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 9 '07
Roberto Hernandez Toronto Blue Jays
Back in the days of Heath Research, Jerry Heath tracked the "won-lost" record of players, figuring out how many in his hundreds of leagues were rostered on teams that finished first, how many on teams that finished last.

Easy to say that Fausto was the AL champ last year. Since very few leagues are non-keeper leagues, it's almost as safe to predict he'll be the champ again this year.

Alex Patton Alex
Dec 9 '07
David Wright New York Mets
More HR, more RBI, 20-point drop in BA, as many as 20 fewer SB.

Sometimes I stop hemming and hawing and lay it on the line.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 9 '07
Jack Wilson Atlanta Braves
Crystal ball sees career-highs in HR, RBI; no worse than neutral BA.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 9 '07
Jeff Suppan San Francisco Giants
Pitched very well at home (9-3, 3.87) ERA, whcih means, of course, that he got shellacked on the road (5.39 ERA; you can figure out the rest). He did not seem to pitch all that much more effectively in the second half (4.12 ERA, slightly higher hit rate), but www.baseballhq.com, taking all the interior stats into account, concludes his Base Performance Value was +79% in the second half.

My conclusion is he'll earn a little more this year, most likely.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 9 '07
Melvin Mora Arizona Diamondbacks
In 624 AB, he would have just about exactly matched 2006. But 2006 was not so hot and he's getting oh so old.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 9 '07
Brendan Harris Los Angeles Dodgers
Position scarcity meet position flexibility. Brendan Harris, meet the low-budget Twins.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 9 '07
I agree with you that he's a good hitter, but when I look at the stats I wonder why I think that. I still think he's a good bet if you can sneak him in, but he needs to do a lot more to really help anyone. That means, pay $3, not $6.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Dec 9 '07
A very good hitter who will play a lot more in the outfield while qualifying at catcher.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 9 '07
J.J. Hardy Baltimore Orioles
Two thumbs down (out of three) in Rotoman's Fantasy Baseball Guide 2008, and Rotoman himself, in the magazine, gives him a bid of only $14. So I'm setting a price that will get him for me almost for sure, and which he can surpass in 2008. Almost for sure.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 8 '07
Robinson Cano New York Mets
He's going to hit 25 home runs. He nearly hit .350. He's got to hit fourth to drive in 110 runs and that isn't going to happen.

I still think it was a miracle he hit .306 last year, but he's young and controls the show. I'm not bidding into it, however.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Dec 8 '07

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