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Peter can reallocate $4 on his spreadsheet unless he knows something we don't!
Colin has once again zeroed out the phantom 2021 stats.
It's a band aid; he still hasn't found what's causing them. They may return.
It wasn't just Yelich that greatly underperformed in the Central.
Rizzo, Baez, Bryant, Castellanos, Hiura, Navarez, Carpenter, Edman, Suarez, Josh Bell, Brian Reynolds, Kevin Newman, Santana, Lindor, Jorge Polanco, Kepler, Moncada, Encarnacion, Mazara, Soler, Nico Goodrum.
Cron vs Fuentes right? He's certainly interesting going to the Rockies. I haven't updated my hitters since he got signed so I'm not sure where I'd put him.
His value rebounded last year - but his HR/FB ratio didn't. I'm expecting decent batting skills, but I wouldn't buy expecting a 20+ HR season.
That said, in an NL only auction wondering how gunshy those who paid up for him in 2019 and got burned will be.
He had wide variance last year. Auctioned in four leagues I'm in, he went for 12,14, 26, and 28. Obviously, in the first two cases, he gets kept. In a league where he's available, I would expect him to go around 22 especially since it wasn't a huge BABIP spike that helped him. He's likely batting fourth in a very good lineup so he's going to get his RBIs. With an improved Myers behind him, he's going to do well.
Is it safe to say 15 or 16 is a floor? Because it certainly feels like that's all it will take to buy him.
Does Cron feel like the kind of guy who could hit 30+ HR with a decent BA this year for a team?
He does to me.
The question then is tomorrow night how much will it take to find out.
Seems like someone who will earn more than his bid unless he comes up as the last decent outfielder.
But is it out yet? Unlike the Forecaster, when the print edition actually arrives is always a matter of suspense. It's usually out by now, but I haven't seen it....
Hardback BP Edition?
Can we get it leather bound?
All about the print edition of BP...
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/baseball-prospectus-annual-futures-guide-team-companion/
Yep ...
I clicked on the Baseball-Reference link in the Brady Singer thread to the complete list of "highest strikes looking percentage" and the first thing that comes up is a list of Team Pitching Pitches. I sorted that list by highest strikes looking and who should appear at the top but the Houston Astros?
Clearly, opposing batters are unsure of themselves when they face the 'Stros.
And when they face the Nationals (who rank at the bottom) they go up thinking they better swing at the first strike they see, because it's going to be a fastball.
To be honest, I don't know what this stat tells us. But there is a fairly big difference top to bottom.
Astros: 30.1%
Nationals: 23.7%
Taijuan Walker Spotlight
Highest strikes looking percentage in 2020 (min. 500 strikes)
| Name | Tm | Str | L/Str |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | KCR | 694 | 35.2% |
| Sonny Gray | CIN | 591 | 34.5% |
| Zack Greinke | HOU | 660 | 34.4% |
| Lance McCullers Jr. | HOU | 543 | 33.9% |
| Ross Stripling | TOT | 527 | 33.4% |
| Zach Davies | SDP | 646 | 31.9% |
| Dylan Bundy | LAA | 672 | 31.8% |
| Frankie Montas | OAK | 603 | 31.7% |
| Zac Gallen | ARI | 702 | 31.1% |
| Taijuan Walker | TOT | 544 | 31.1% |
He's platooning in retirement.
Picking up from a Brandon Nimmo post, my Joc Pederson projection was very optimistic about his batting average and a little too rosy about his homer power. And I adjusted my bid up a little, though I may knock him back down again as I think about him. He's of high enough risk I don't think I want to bid him up to full price.
I don't look at the projections at all when I'm making my initial prices. The prices are based on what players have cost in recent years, what they earned, and how this year's expectations compare.
Then the initial round of projections are based on a mechanical algorithm that uses information from the last 2 or 3 years of stats.
Then I compare and jigger the prices and the projections as the winter moves along, based on playing time issues, injuries, and also places where the algorithm doesn't get the whole picture. I'm not sure how Nimmo ended up with a projected .230 BA. A closer look tells me he should hit about .250, but in fewer at bats because the Mets roster is getting crowded and Nimmo has mostly been better against righties (and because he walks so much).
A revised projection and slightly lower price will be in the updates released next week.
If he gets traded to the NL, Phil, do you lose the stats?
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And someone did call back, Alex. He's heading home to finish his career in the KBO. https://en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN20210223005300315?fbclid=IwAR1U7l4kSjYNqUPKnfKvy4iTigmPq_6EEsi7mIrMFoVqbylDK50IMuUhyoo