Comments

The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

Welcome! You are invited to wander around and read all of the comments that have been posted here at Patton & Co., but as soon as you register you can see the bid limits that Alex, Peter and Mike propose for each player, and you can post your own comments. Registering is free, so please join us!
Luis Rodriguez Seattle Mariners
Cricket city! No power, no speed, no average, no thanks.
paul schneider badgermania
Feb 24 '09
I agree...solid buy.

In the BP, it was noted that he did not walk in his first 80 or so at bats in the majors. After that, he reverted back to his more patient history. I take that as a simple adjustment period.

Classic year two/post hype player. I would take him at Alex's $12 bid as well.
paul schneider badgermania
Feb 24 '09
Brad Lidge Washington Nationals
I agree with MikeG.

Lidge will still be a solid closer in '09, but the periphals show a jump in ERA and long flies. I think a few more of those fly balls will reach the seats this year.

Keith Cromer Slyke
Feb 24 '09
Brian Giles San Diego Padres
I think the $8-$10 that Slyke mentioned is a much more reasonable bid. All his projections look a lot closer to 2007 than 2008.
paul schneider badgermania
Feb 24 '09
Kyle Kendrick Boston Red Sox
I'm with badgermania. There are some mechanical adjustments that could be made that would make Kendrick a serviceable major league pitcher, but guys who strike out less than four batters an inning aren't good bets.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 24 '09
Brad Lidge Washington Nationals
Lidge's K/IP numbers and WHIP were extremely similar in 2007 and 2008 yet his ERA in '07 was much higher. Why? Did he magically become a "closer with a power arm" in 2008, or was he somewhat lucky in 2008?

The HR/FB rate of 3.9% tells me that he was lucky. That doesn't mean that Lidge was a fluke last year. He is a very good pitcher, and should remain very good. But the peripherals simply don't support a 1.95 ERA and 2 HR allowed. Lidge "got away with the WHIP" last year, but the more you dive into the numbers, the more you realize that it's unlikely that it will happen two years running.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 24 '09
Skip Schumaker San Diego Padres
I see a fair amount of regression here. Combine that with a crowded OF situation, and I don't see 600 plate appearances either (even if you buy the notion of him playing second).

Remember this is a guy with limited power AND speed.

I think a bid of closer to $10 is more appropriate.
paul schneider badgermania
Feb 24 '09
Albert Pujols Los Angeles Angels
Screw the dillweed in our league that gets to keep him at $34 or something of that nature. Thank goodness the guy found a way to finish 11th last year.
paul schneider badgermania
Feb 24 '09
Does he close? I guess that's the $19 question.
Adam Holgate Hoagie
Feb 24 '09
Doubtful that he gets sent to the minors at this point (though I suppose he probably does have options left). He earned $27 even with that bad stretch -- he will put up some numbers, even with a bad stretch. The possibility of a bad stretch is why he's $26 instead of $33 . . .
mike fenger mike
Feb 24 '09
Rick Ankiel New York Mets
$17 is a fair price, but considering his "youth" as a hitter, I think he is a nice place to invest for possible profit.
paul schneider badgermania
Feb 24 '09
Chris Coste Houston Astros
I'm sure Coste has put up some big hits in the last three years, but the numbers don't support the idea that he's clutch off the bench: he's got a 688 OPS as a pinch-hitter and an 803 OPS as a catcher and that one game at 1B you see above.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Feb 24 '09
Brandon Moss Oakland Athletics
I kind of commented on this in my Morgan comment, but who else do they have? Between Pearce, Morgan, and Moss, two are going to start at the corner spots? I think that warrants more than the bids we are seeing ($1 for Morgan, $4 for Moss, $6 for Pearce). I am not advocating going crazy on any of them, but playing time matters and they are going to get that on a team with limited options. You can't fill your roster with guys like this, but if someone wants to give me Moss for $3-$4 for my 5th OF spot, I will take the possible $10 profit.

As a Pirate fan, Slyke, what am I missing? Maybe McCutcheon's presence bumps McLouth to a corner and one of them out of a job?
paul schneider badgermania
Feb 24 '09
Nyjer Morgan Cleveland Indians
ESPN lists him as the starter on the depth chart, though he will have to battle Pearce for the job. If he starts, has a shot at 30 steals. Even if he doesn't, I think he probably gets 150-200 at bats, which means 10-15 steals, which is worth more than a buck.

I don't think a buck gets him in most leagues, as there are always a couple of teams chasing steals late, enough to drive him to at least $4-$5.

I think Rajai Davis went for about $7 in my league in a "frantic" bidding war last year.
paul schneider badgermania
Feb 24 '09
Jayson Werth Washington Nationals
I think he does have upside, but I think the caution around him is warranted (for exactly the reasons mentioned in the previous comments). I think $17 may be a tick or two too low, but think someone in most leagues is going to go quite a bit higher. If he slips to me for around $20, I am loving it, but I just can't see that happening in a solid league.
paul schneider badgermania
Feb 24 '09
Matt Stairs Washington Nationals
So who gets the scrub LH at bats in Philly...Stairs or Jenkins?
paul schneider badgermania
Feb 24 '09
Brandon Jones Milwaukee Brewers
Scratch that....didn't realize the Bravos signed Garrett Anderson. $2 is about right.
paul schneider badgermania
Feb 24 '09
Ryan Church Pittsburgh Pirates
I think $9 is a tad low. Even playing part time, he has been earning $10. He is the solid starter in RF for the Mets and while the concussion concerns linger, I think he has to at least slot into that $12-$15 range.
paul schneider badgermania
Feb 24 '09
Brad Lidge Washington Nationals
When you strike out nearly 92 batters in nearly 70 innings, you can get away with the WHIP. WHIP for a closer with a power arm (fastball/slider) is a little deceiving. He did suffer a course correction in 2006, but I think that correction was mental, not physical. I think mid-high $30s is expected earnings, so bid accordingly.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Feb 24 '09
Kyle Kendrick Boston Red Sox
What exactly is there to like about him? His K/BB rate is bad. Lefties just murder him. I guess he is still young and he does induce some ground balls, but he is no better than a reserve pick IMO.
paul schneider badgermania
Feb 24 '09

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