Comments

The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

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Scott Linebrink St. Louis Cardinals
Way too rad. Sorry, Scott; unlike MLB, we have salary caps. And set-up guys get overused. And are always available in the crapshoot.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 22 '08
I thought he would be dirt-cheap in the 15-team mixed-league XFL auction held in Phoenix this past fall. Was I ever wrong. Went well into the teens.
Alex Patton Alex
Jan 22 '08
Danny Richar Florida Marlins
Is he starting, or does Ozzie go with Uribe at second?
Thomas Odom Mendoza
Jan 22 '08
Bobby Abreu Philadelphia Phillies
When the feet slow the bat often booms. I don't think you'll get Abreu in a 4x4 roto league for less than $27, so the question is does he slide fast as he ages or does he compensate? I think a guy who can walk 90 times will compensate, and I agree that the stolen bases could fade in a hurry, though Girardi appears to be an aggressive manager.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jan 22 '08
Alex Escobar Washington Nationals
For reasons that escape me know he appears in the Guide with an $8 price tag. I guess I was putting a bet on him actually staying healthy for once, earning a job and then producing. If all those things happen he'll be worth more than $8. If you have to pay a buck at some point on him it could work out.
Peter Kreutzer Rotoman
Jan 22 '08
Manny Ramirez Boston Red Sox
The biggest concern here isn't his age. It isn't even the dip in the salary scan from 2005-2007.

It's the fact that he lost $8 in value despite the fact that he had 5 additional plate appearances last year.

Someone will pay $30 based on the salary scan above. Someone will be sorry.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 22 '08
Brett Tomko New York Yankees
One of the better gems I have read from Rotoworld.

"The Royals and Brett Tomko have reportedly agreed to a one-year, $3 million contract.
It's so ridiculous to complain about what Alex Rodriguez is making when baseball is swimming in so much cash that Tomko can disappoint organization after organization and still receive $3 million. The soon-to-be 35-year-old had a 5.55 ERA while pitching in two of the National League's bigger ballparks last season. Once in 10 years -- with the Giants in 2004 -- has he actually met the expectations a team had for him. There's simply way too much money being made by baseball if he's worth $3 million."
Donny Brubaker donbru
Jan 22 '08
J.J. Hardy Baltimore Orioles
I am not sure what to make of Hardy this year. He was fairly consistent from 1st half to 2nd half, in the face of a dying Brewers team. His numbers at home and on the road are pretty consistent. He gets his bat on the ball, but without much speed or quickness. Here's the kicker for me - is the average a product of luck (because he gets the bat on the ball so much) or is it that he is really a .270-.280 hitter?

I think the power is there, and in 600 AB, he hits 30 this year. If he hits .250, well, $18 is a lot. If he hits .277, you have a decent bargain in 4x4.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Jan 21 '08
Bobby Abreu Philadelphia Phillies
Well, the scan is always telling...$45, $38, $34, $28. Abreu appears to be in a decline. The power is down, the steals are dropping, the walks are down...all bad signs and all signs of a player on the decline. I would be wary of Abreu at $27. I'm thinking that a line similar to last year's numbers, with about 5 less SB. His days of well past 20 SB are likely over.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Jan 21 '08
Carl Crawford Los Angeles Dodgers
No one heard me say this, but I tend to agree with Slyke here. The trick pony with Crawford, as it is with many basestealers, is how long can he continue to keep up the average and the power with the wear and tear of stealing bases? Last year, Crawford didn't wear down at all and clearly seemed to recover from all the dings, hitting .355 post All-Star break. He doesn't like his home park as much as visiting parks generally speaking, but I don't think it hurts his value overall.

Crawford was bought last year at $50; I don't think that owner is going to keep him, but I can see Crawford pushing the mid to high $40s again. I think my non-inflation number is going to be about $42.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Jan 21 '08
Johan Santana Baltimore Orioles
I am currently sitting on Santana at $47 in a 4x4 with about 18% inflation last year (I haven't taken the time to calculate any potential inflation yet this year). I'm tempted to keep him even though he "killed" me down the stretch last year. Crazy to say, but he just didn't have that Santana zip down the stretch.

If he stays in the AL, there are a couple of scenarios. First, he starts the season with the Twins. This could be a fantasy "disaster," because he is not happy in Minnesota at the moment. Of course, last year was a "disaster," and the earnings are at $33. Scenario 2 - he goes to the Yankees. Good for them, and good for his win total. Scenario 3 - he goes to Boston...good for him, Boston and me...25 wins is not out of the realm of possibility and I keep him at $47.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Jan 21 '08
I tend to agree with Mike here (an unfortunate byproduct of entering comments on the most recent commented players). Buck's average is a little low at .222. Of course, that average is going to be a little low at .240 also.

I see a little more power potential, though his ABs are clearly going to remain limited. If he actually got 400-450 ABs, I think 25-30 HR is a real possibility. 18-20 is much more likely.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Jan 21 '08
I've been a John Buck rooter since wasting a reserve pick on him in LABR in 2003, but despite the BB/AB cresting slightly, he really isn't getting any better. The OBP isn't ever going to move much over .300, which means that he isn't going to ever break a .250 BA, which means that he's never going to be a high-impact Roto catcher.

That doesn't mean he's not worth owning. Batting average is a product of luck, and the scan makes me think that Buck was a little unlucky last year. A .240 BA with 20 HR isn't out of the question, but don't bet on it.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 21 '08
Scott Linebrink St. Louis Cardinals
If that $5 price holds in the software, you're looking at one of the more radical bids you'll ever see.

Unless the implication is that Jenks' 2007 was a mirage.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 21 '08
Brett Tomko New York Yankees
Signed a one-year, $3 million contract with the Royals today.

Pass.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 21 '08
Will miss the first 15 games of 2008 after violating MLB's drug program. That being said, has been a solid $20 earner of late with the exception of an injury plagued 2006. Probably will bat 6th in the KC lineup, so he should get plenty of RBI chances hitting behind Teahen, Butler and Gordon. Not a lot of HR's hit by KC players the last couple of years, so I expect the HR's to dip a bit. I think $16 is solid, and expect numbers like 2005 and 2007.
Keith Cromer Slyke
Jan 21 '08
The downside is that horrid BB/SO ratio in Texas. Like Slyke, I see the upside. But the downside is that Salty hits .200 with no power and gets shipped to AAA on May 15.

Don't rule out a move back to 1B either. Ben Broussard and Chris Shelton aren't all that much of an impediment if the Rangers decide they want to give Laird one last shot behind the dish.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 21 '08
Jon Garland Colorado Rockies
I'd stick with $8. Even though Garland is a relatively safe bet, his K/IP is always low, and his BABIP jumps all over the place every year. He could get lucky and earn $27 again, but he's more likely to earn somewhere between $7-13. Pay $8 and you're pretty likely to get a small profit plus the 200+ IP that Garland always delivers.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 21 '08
I think this price actually might get him; there are a number of people out there who look at Shields and think he isn't for real. I agree with Slyke, think that that those K/IP and K/BB ratios aren't budging and that, at the very least, Shields is going to be a positive earner for the rest of his career, with a few more $20+ seasons sprinkled in. That might not be worth paying $20 for, but I would pay at least $17.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 21 '08
Dontrelle Willis Baltimore Orioles
You won't get Dontrelle for the 4x4 price, but Alex, once again, is on the money. This is why the scan is useful. Dontrelle has a reputation as a money pitcher, but the money column tells us, in fact, that he's only been that pitcher once in the last five years. Pay $12 and hope for 2003, deal with it if you get 2004 or 2006, and pray he doesn't re-live 2007.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Jan 21 '08

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