Comments

The last twenty comments in true blog fasion, with the links to their authors and the player commented upon.

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Waiver wire gold last year.

People will overspend for him next year based on his stats, but I would be wary. Always had a decent stick for an IF, but last year was his best offensive season by far (never reached .800 OPS in his previous full seasons).

I would bid cautiously.

Keith Cromer Slyke
Dec 3 '08
David Price Boston Red Sox
I agree as well.

Ticketed for the Rays' rotation to begin 2009.

Keith Cromer Slyke
Dec 3 '08
Jensen Lewis Chicago Cubs
Took a step back last year after a very impressive rookie season. Emerged as the closer to end the season, but the talk is the Tribe will bring in a closer during the off-season.

I still think Lewis can be the closer of the future, but he might move back to middle relief to begin the season. I would invest a couple of bucks on him regardless of his role in the pen.


Keith Cromer Slyke
Dec 3 '08
Travis Buck Houston Astros
$15? Really? I have him at $8, but I have no faith he will be healthy enough to sniff $15. I like him as a player, but the track record of injuries scares me. He should be able to crack that OF, and that OPS north of .800 in his 120 games provides some optimism, but I still have doubts about him this year.


Keith Cromer Slyke
Dec 3 '08
Time is running out on this one-time top 5 prospect. Showed absolutely nothing in his 235 AB's last year that would lead me to believe he can contribute in 2009. If he does earn the starting 3B job, he has some value, but those K/BB ratios show he is not someone you would expect much from. His injury history is also a concern.

No sleeper here.


Keith Cromer Slyke
Dec 3 '08
Anthony Reyes Cleveland Indians
Pitched great in his 6 starts after being dealt to the Tribe. Never clicked with Duncan, which is surprising considering Duncan's track record with pitchers.

Interesting guy next year. Is it possible he has put it all together at 27? The stuff is there, maybe he needed a fresh start? I like him in 2009 to be a solid pitcher to end out your rotation. I think a $12 - $15 season is possible.



Keith Cromer Slyke
Dec 3 '08
Roy Halladay Philadelphia Phillies
Toshiro - there are a number of theories about this, and we've explored many auction and drafting strategies over at rotothinktank.blogspot.com.

The simple answer is: there is no surefire way to prevent the injury bomb. Obviously, you want to avoid players with known injury histories...the big one that comes to mind this upcoming year is A.J. Burnett. 18 wins and decent qualitatives suggest strong bidding, but everything in his history suggests that strong bidding is a recipe for disaster.

In the CBS Sportsline League of Champions 2009 Mock Draft, I took a unique approach - I looked for players with at least one year of MLB experience (400+ AB) and not over the age of 28. That appears to be a good way to avoid injuries...nonetheless, ask Troy Tulo owners and Carlos Quentin owners how that worked out. At least I have a control group to look at in that league and compare that to a more veteran-oriented team.

With regard to the flyer/unproven idea, if you go that route, you won't win...one or even two of those guys might be okay (particularly if you have a minor league system, reserve list and/or FAAB), but a team full is not going to get you anywhere since the vast majority of those players fail.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Dec 3 '08
Tyler Flowers Atlanta Braves
The rumor mill at work - allegedly included in the Vazquez deal.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Dec 3 '08
Rumor has it that Ryan Spillbrough has been told that the CF job is his to lose and the Rocks try and trade Willy Tavares. That leaves Young in AA as a 24 y/o...I'd like to see him swinging against Major Leaguers.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Dec 3 '08
Jeff Kent Los Angeles Dodgers
At some point, the HOF discussion is going to come up. Kent's numbers are great compared to other 2B. Somehow, though, I do not see him as a HOF. Bias? Am I am simpleton? (Don't answer that question). He just isn't.
John Toczydlowski Toz
Dec 3 '08
David Price Boston Red Sox
I agree Alex. I think the Rays are in a position where they can put him out there every 5th day, and he has the stuff to make it happen. I am still having a hard time putting a dollar value on him, but I think he gets a decent salary...those of you in keeper leagues do not want another owner walking away with a very large, very inexpensive dump chip (to the extent he is not already protected).
John Toczydlowski Toz
Dec 3 '08
Not to mention the Rays. I'll say it here first: he's going to start.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 3 '08
Saved me last season.
Colin Summers Colin (Flying Blog)
Dec 2 '08
Tim Lincecum Texas Rangers
Note from a masochist:

Phillies phooey, the NL was pathetic again last year -- as pathetic as it was three years ago -- in its match-ups against the AL, and so, as was done in 2006, I've made the saves denominator for wins in the NL slightly smaller than it usually is (2.4 instead of 2,5) and the one for the AL slightly larger (2.6 instead of 2.5). Wins were more scarce in the NL league and hence each win was just a little more valuable. Only a little. Linceum earns $36 instead of the $35 he would have earned if the NL had just more or less held its own in interleague play.
Alex Patton Alex
Dec 2 '08
Shin-Soo Choo Texas Rangers
Players who earn $18 the year before are never sleepers the following year.

Even people who don't know a Patton dollar from a Schrute buck have some idea of what Choo earned in 2008.

That's the problem.
Mike Gianella MikeG
Dec 1 '08
Mariano Rivera New York Yankees
Who says relievers don't have an impact on the qualitatives? Mariano was worth more than K-Rod last year.

The top five AL pitchers:

Mariano Rivera $48
Francisco Rodriguez $46
RoyHalladay $42
Joakim Soria $42
CliffLee $41

Alex Patton Alex
Dec 1 '08
Shin-Soo Choo Texas Rangers
Look closely at the numbers; check out what NeauxBrainer, a serious Indians fan, had to say about Choo in September; don't even kid yourself he's going to be a sleeper next year.
Alex Patton Alex
Nov 30 '08
Jeff Kent Los Angeles Dodgers
If I were Jeff Kent, I would retire while I still had a lifetime .500 slugging average.

Actually, no I wouldn't.
Alex Patton Alex
Nov 30 '08
Brian McCann Atlanta Braves
For the rest of this year, we'll keep showing the bids that Peter, Mike and I recommended for last year. Take a bow, Mike.
Alex Patton Alex
Nov 30 '08
The numbers say he was a model of consistency; Mets fans know better.
Alex Patton Alex
Nov 30 '08

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