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Nearing the end of Ken Davidoff's top 40 free agents (in the Post on Nov. 7):
Dick. Mountain. Get it?
https://heavy.com/sports/2019/12/dick-mountain-twitter-rich-hill-nickname/
38. Rich Hill (LHP, Age 41)
The unstoppable Dick Mountain actually did his job just fine as the Mets’ biggest (not big enough) trade-deadline pitching import.
Prediction: Angels, one year, $6 million
Next two free agents in Davidoff's rankings. If he's right about the second, Chafin was absolutely right to decline.
We'll see if he's right.
36. Seiya Suzuki (OF, Age 27)
The Hiroshima Toyo Carp will post him.
Prediction: Marlins, three years, $21 million
37. Andrew Chafin (LHP, Age 31)
A terrific 2021 season with the Cubs and A’s propels him into a higher stratosphere.
Prediction: Yankees, three years, $21 million
Answer: of course.
Ken Davidoff's top 40 free agents:
35. Brett Gardner (OF, Age 38)
Would he actually play elsewhere if he and the Yankees can’t find common ground?
Prediction: Marlins, one year, $4 million
Tough to project, tougher to price.
Ken Davidoff's top 40 free agents:
34. Jon Gray (RHP Age 30)
Like nearly all Rockies pitchers, he is a tough nut to crack when projecting him elsewhere.
Prediction: Blue Jays, three years, $36 million
If I were a Pads fan, I most certainly would NOT want him back at 2/$20. He is 36 and doesn't have overpowering stuff. Why not sign someone like Graveman instead?
I can see this happening ... and I can see him not earning it ... I had him on&off during 2017 thru 2019 ... he makes me nervous ...
I think our three bids were just about right, considering the risk/reward.
Ken Davidoff's top 40 free agents:
33. Steven Matz (LHP, Age 30)
Leaving New York for Canada proved quite the panacea for the Long Islander.
Prediction: Twins, three years, $36 million
I'd be happy ... always been a Grienke fan ... except for the Blue years, of course ...
Padres got a good twilight season and a half out of Maddux ... that WHIP still looks good to me ...
Will the Padres make this offer? Dunno ... they need lots o' help ... they'll make some move/signing along these lines, I s'pose ...
Clearly a two-year deal is the thing to do.
Ken Davidoff's top 40 free agents:
32. Avisail Garcia (OF, Age 30)
Every odd-numbered year since 2017 he hits above league average, and every even-numbered year since 2016 he hits below it.
Prediction: Royals, two years, $30 million
Final installment of Ken Davidoff's top 40 free agents (in the post on Nov.7):
31. Mark Melancon (RHP, Age 36)
He kept it classy in San Diego, as it wasn’t his fault the Pads crashed and burned.
Prediction: Padres, two years, $20 million
Gabriel Moreno, C, Blue Jays — After taking reps at third base during pre-game warmups, Moreno got back to doing what he does best: putting the barrel of his bat on pitches in all sectors of the strike zone. On Thursday, that meant a 3-for-6 effort with a double and three RBIs. With the evening, Moreno's overall Fall League line moves to a crisp .348/.427/.536 with 10 doubles and a home run in 69 at-bats. He's also shown a strong sense of plate discipline, with 11 walks against 12 strikeouts. Behind the plate, he's shown off an arm strong enough to record pop times of 1.89 seconds, and he's caught 50% of runners (7 of 14) trying to steal. All that adds up to the prospect scouts believe is the consensus best in the AFL.
November 12 Baseball America Prospect Report
Bryson Stott, SS, Phillies — Though he's been somewhat overshadowed by the nightly exploits of Gabriel Moreno and Nelson Velazquez, Stott has had an outstanding Fall League. The Phillies' 2019 first-rounder out of UNLV clubbed his first home run of the six-week season as part of a 3-for-5 day on Thursday. The longball pushed Stott into a tie with JJ Bleday for second place among the league's RBI leaders, boosted his on-base percentage to .454 (fifth in the league) and gave him an overall OPS of .912. There are still plenty of questions about Stott's ability to stick at shortstop, but his bat is looking excellent in the desert.
As happens at times, Yepez was the "next guy on my list" in my deep minors league list but I didn't choose him (Jake McCarthy instead). I pick second and fourth in spring so we'll see if I get a second chance or if he goes #1.
If I'm a pitcher with a varied history of success with one coaching staff and less success elsewhere, I'm hoping to stay where I had success. (I feel the same way about players in the NFL who have success in a certain scheme).
I'd like to see the reward kept and the penalty scrapped. Just create new pick, don't take them from the signing team.
Phillies bought out McCutchen's option - so I could see this.
The ERA splits don't seem to show it (3.10 home, 3.22 away) ... but the HR splits point to Oracle really helping him out (0.5 HR/9 IP at home, 1.4 on the road).
After a 4.1 WAR season, no qualifying offer also surprises me, unless there was some kind of gentleman's agreement between him and the Giants when he signed. If I was his agent my list of places NOT to sign would include Cinci, Colorado, Philly, Baltimore, or Toronto.
Ken Davidoff's top 40 free agents:
30. Noah Syndergaard (RHP, Age 29)
The qualifying offer was designed for someone like him, who can put himself in a great position for 2022-23 offseason.
Prediction: Mets, one year, $18.4 million
The Dodgers will easily top this offer (from anyone) and Kenley will take it.
Ken Davidoff's top 40 free agents:
29. Kenley Jansen (RHP, Age 34)
It will be weird to see him in another uniform.
Prediction: Phillies, three years, $40 million
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Retirement didn't seem in the offing back in May. And it may not be now.
Ken Davidoff's top 40 free agents:
39. Corey Kluber (RHP, Age 35)
He didn’t give the Yankees enough for what they paid him last season, and it’s hard to see him singing for his supper.
Prediction: Retirement