Michael Morse Seattle Mariners
Age: 31 (March 22, 1982) | 6' 5" | 245lbs. | Bats: Right 1B-1 OF-92 DH-9
Tm Lg Year G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG K/W BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
WAS NL 2009 32 52 4 13 3 16 3 0 3 10 0 0 .250 .291 .481 5.3 .303 n/a 2 2
WAS AAA 2010 51 12 13 8 11 2 0 3 8 0 0 .255 .367 .471 1.4 .270 n/a
WAS NL 2010 98 266 36 77 22 64 12 2 15 41 0 1 .289 .352 .519 2.9 .332 n/a 13 11
WAS NL 2011 146 522 73 158 36 126 36 0 31 95 2 3 .303 .360 .550 3.5 .348 44/20/37 32 28
WAS A 2012 1 4 1 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 .500 .500 .500 0.0 .667 n/a
WAS A+ 2012 3 9 0 3 1 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 .333 .400 .444 2.0 .429 n/a
WAS AA 2012 3 8 1 3 1 3 2 0 1 4 0 0 .375 .444 1.00 3.0 .500 n/a
WAS NL 2012 102 406 53 118 16 97 17 1 18 62 0 1 .291 .321 .470 6.1 .344 55/20/25 18 16
SEA AL 2013 54 204 24 52 16 55 9 0 11 23 0 0 .255 .314 .461 3.4 .297 45/19/37 6 6
Career 9yrs 539 1750 223 508 116 423 95 4 81 268 6 6 .290 .343 .488 3.6 .343

32 comments  
PK 5x5:
$17 
MF 5x5:
$21 
AP 4x4:
$19
This season: 10 comments
Texpope
Mar 9 '12
Well - you can look at it two ways.

Without roto, you might be rooting for Morse as an underdog kinda guy who its fun seeing getting a chance and outperforming many of his much higher paid and much more touted contemporaries (compare, say, Morse and Soriano).

On the other hand, without roto there's a much better chance you wouldn't even be aware that Mike Morse is a far superior player to Alfonso Soriano at this point in their careers.
Seadogs
Mar 9 '12
Here is where Roto ruins people for real baseball (aside from the fact that I don't even have a favorite team any more).

I loved Morse last year when I was smart enough to keep him. This year, I traded him for Bonifacio (Boni at 5:2, Morse at 10:O) so now I'd kind of like him to fail a bit so that I don't feel badly about my trade.
Texpope
Mar 9 '12
Having not watched Morse, my first question becomes - why do pitchers throw him strikes? With that K/BB ratio I'm amazed he gets pitches to drive.
LVW
Mar 8 '12
Players like Boggs and Gilles controlled the strike zone really well which helped their shelf life. Bautista wasn't bad at doing that either- his isolated OB% in the years before his breakout were .100 .085 .075 and .114.
Rotoman
Mar 8 '12
I worry about Bautista. I think he, like Wade Boggs and Brian Giles, got retarded by no fault of their own. They were stuck in systems that didn't understand or value them, and they wasted time in the minor leagues they could have spent doing more.

The real point here, I realize, is that these situations aren't cut and dried. There were plenty of naysayers who derided Boggs, for a few years at least, even though anybody with eyes could see what he had going. And if Boggs' situation had been different then the results would probably have been different too, despite what he had going.

I liked Bautista's game long before he became Bautista, but I never imagined what he'd become. As I suspect Michael Morse's ma and da are scratching their heads. As a baseball fan, I think we eat these guys up. As gamblers manning our fantasy teams, we have to be careful.

That's all.

BGWoodsman
Mar 8 '12
bautista comes to mind also, but every rule needs exceptions. I'm not fond of betting on the exception.
Rotoman
Mar 8 '12
There are counter examples, too. Raul Ibanez comes to mind. But I think the record shows that preparing for the worst isn't a bad policy.
LVW
Mar 8 '12
Ryan Ludwick is another example. He had his breakout at age 29 and has been in freefall ever since.
yoda
Mar 8 '12
I agree with Peter. Generally older guys who make it to the bigs have a shorter life span.
Rotoman
Mar 8 '12
Ha ha ha. I meant that his development was retarded, not that he was. Though with two steroid suspensions, draw your own conclusions. (I know, they were both pretty much for the same offense, but there were two of them.)

Now, look back on the career of Casey McGehee. Came up as a 27 year old for half a season and earned about $13. The next year the wise guys paid $10 for him, and he exploded to $21. Last year, we paid $23 for him and he earned $3.

Here's what it said in the 2011 Baseball Forecaster about McGehee: "Proved '09 power jump was no fluke, despite hitting a lot more ground balls. If that doesn't change his upside will be limited, but he hits lefties and can still provide sold value. "

I'm not saying Morse is McGehee, but the pattern is the same. The 2012 Forecaster describes Morse in almost exactly the same way as the 2011 Forecaster described McGehee, pointing out the consistent HR power despite rising ground ball rate.

Heed the wisdom of Johann Santayana, I mean George.
2011 season: 31 comments
2010 season: 2 comments
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