Josh Beckett Los Angeles Dodgers
Age: 33 (May 15, 1980) | 6' 5" | 225lbs. | Throws: Right P-28
Tm Lg Year W L SV G GS IP H HR BB SO ERA WHIP Rtg K/9 K/W BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
BOS AL 2008 12 10 0 27 27 174.1 173 18 34 172 4.03 1.19 1.24 8.9 5.1 .327 n/a 16 16
BOS AL 2009 17 6 0 32 32 212.1 198 25 55 199 3.86 1.19 1.24 8.4 3.6 .302 n/a 24 22
BOS AL 2010 6 6 0 21 21 127.2 151 20 45 116 5.78 1.54 1.59 8.2 2.6 .349 n/a -11 -3
BOS AL 2011 13 7 0 30 30 193.0 146 21 52 175 2.89 1.03 1.05 8.2 3.4 .253 40/18/42 28 24
BOS/LAN NL 2012 7 14 0 28 28 170.0 174 21 52 132 4.66 1.33 1.36 7.0 2.5 .306 43/21/37 -3 2
LAN NL 2013 0 5 0 8 8 43.1 50 8 15 41 5.19 1.50 1.60 8.5 2.7 .341 39/24/37 -5 -2
Career 13yrs 132 100 0 315 312 1935.0 1801 221 590 1794 3.94 1.24 1.25 8.3 3.0 .301

15 comments  
PK 5x5:
$10 
MF 5x5:
$8 
AP 4x4:
$8
Last season: 11 comments
2011 season: 13 comments
This season: 2 comments
jem1776
Nov 27 '10
Okay, Ballfour makes sense, but what is important to me now is this. What will his market value be in our auction? And what do I need to be able to buy him for to justify the risk vs. reward? A lot of people will be rightly sour on him after 2010. Is he the Beckett of 09 or 06 or 07?
ballfour
May 27 '10
It frosts me to hear him called unlucky over and over and over. Well, his FIP has been lower than his actual ERA in eight of the last nine seasons (though, to be fair, some of the differences have been slight). When you're "unlucky" for eight years, it's a career path. Beckett still gets talked about like an ace and paid like a Cy Young contender, but let's see him for what he really is.
ballfour
Apr 4 '10
Beckett career at Fenway: 4.53 ERA. Beckett career against Yanks: 5.51 ERA.

Go where the outs are easier.
Jurgen
Mar 23 '10
Quitely came back but with the breakouts of Felix, Greinke, and Verlander I'm not sure people noticed.

Assuming your league isn't filled with Red Sox fans, he might make a fine value ace.
BGWoodsman
Feb 18 '10
Fair enough. I'd have Lee and Beckett even up. The problem with tiers is that I'd prefer all of those #1's, to Beckett or Lee, but I'd prefer Beckett to all of the 1A guys you list, at least in a vacuum.

Obviously price may make Beckett the bad value, as in Mike's league. I actually find him underrated in mixed leagues.
EugeneFreed
Feb 18 '10
I'm an AL only guy and I don't really like Beckett. I've been burned by too many NL pitchers coming over to fall for him in 06, but that first view of him in the AL has stuck with me.

I have him safely behind the aces on my rankings: CC, Greinke, King Felix, Verlander, Lester, and Lee in that order. Burnett is in the mix with Shields, Garza, Vazquez, Lackey, Anderson as 1A starters. There are a few that could be in that group who are bigger injury risks too: Sheets, Harden, Dice-K, Kazmir, Peavy. Got to swallow hard to bid them into the same air as the 1A guys, but they could easily surpass all of them if they put up 200 IP. The 2 starters begin with the Chicago triplets- Buehrle, Danks, Floyd, and Jer Weaver, but I'm sure some would put them in the 1A category. Just not me.
MikeG
Feb 18 '10
There are probably leagues where Beckett is overrated. Mine is one. His owner has him at $32 and says he's keeping Beckett, which is a little odd considering that Sabathia, Greinke, Verlander, Lee and Vazquez will all be available. Some people do love Beckett and push him into the $30s year in and year out. Even with inflation, the scan is up and down on whether or not that's a good idea or not.
BGWoodsman
Feb 18 '10
So many safer spots?? I find that hard to believe. There are no safe pitchers, but few are as safe as Beckett.

Consistently overbid? Maybe in some leagues, but how many starters have pulled double digit earnings just the last 3 years, let alone 6??

Using Rotoman's #'s, from the guide, I count 12. Greinke and Felix make it by Alex's #'s, and maybe a couple others. The point is, his down years haven't been that down. Maybe his up years aren't as up as his price suggests. He's probably costing in the 20's. But the reason is precisely that he's safe, with upside.
ballfour
Feb 18 '10
Guess what his career ERA is at Fenway? Guess higher. Here's a guy who consistently comes higher that what peripheral ERA suggests (except in 2006, when he was so bad no one cared); said a different way, he's been "unlucky" just about every year but at this point can we even call it luck anymore? At the end of the day Beckett is a reasonable No. 2 or No. 3 for our mixer purposes, but he's a little too famous for a discount to apply. Unless I'm in a room with 12 Angry Men, I'll just let someone else deal with the uphill climb in the AL East. So many safer spots with just as much upside.
Pancho
Feb 4 '10
Perhaps, the formula has a "flaw?" Hmmm.
2009 season: 2 comments
2008 season: 9 comments
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