Jay Bruce Cincinnati Reds
Age: 26 (April 03, 1987) | 6' 3" | 225lbs. | Bats: Left OF-154
Tm Lg Year G AB R H BB SO 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BA OBP SLG K/W BABIP G/L/F % $4x4 $5x5
CIN NL 2009 101 345 47 77 38 75 15 2 22 58 3 3 .223 .303 .470 2.0 .222 n/a 12 10
CIN NL 2010 148 509 80 143 58 136 23 5 25 70 5 4 .281 .353 .493 2.3 .339 n/a 23 21
CIN NL 2011 157 585 84 150 71 158 27 2 32 97 8 7 .256 .341 .474 2.2 .299 36/17/47 28 24
CIN NL 2012 155 560 89 141 62 155 35 5 34 99 9 3 .252 .327 .514 2.5 .288 35/20/44 27 24
CIN NL 2013 71 291 39 81 21 86 22 1 13 48 2 2 .278 .325 .495 4.1 .354 35/28/37 13 12
Career 6yrs 740 2703 402 697 283 720 139 16 147 424 31 25 .258 .330 .484 2.5 .300

12 comments  
PK 5x5:
$30 
MF 5x5:
$27 
AP 4x4:
$26
Texpope
Apr 19
Big jump in K rate, combined with plummeting fly ball rate, isn't going to produce a lot of HRs. That said, the jump in line drive rate tells me not to worry too much yet.
Slyke
Apr 19
If someone told me Bruce, Stanton and Kemp would not have any HR's by April 19th, I would have laughed in their face.

Only 5 XBH's in 68 AB's? It's a small sample size, but that K/BB ratio is a tad alarming.
LVW
Apr 5
Has a career .190 avg with 2 outs/RISP.
Rotoman
Feb 6
His big year, if he has another one (he will), is going to come because he hits in good luck AND he gets just a little better on a team that has a better lineup. No reason that couldn't happen this year, or the next. But the key point is that the biggest years happen when talent and luck peak together.
LVW
Feb 6
He had 99 RBIs last year even with no Votto for 1/3 of the season, no leadoff hitter, and hitting just .236 with RISP.

Add Choo and a full season from Votto and he could show no improvement and lead the NL in RBIs.
Megary
Feb 6
Striking out 150+ times a year in and of itself is really no big deal given his power. But he needs to draw a few more free passes or he might not ever have that Big Season...unless he gets Babip lucky like he did in 2010.

I still like his chances.

Funny...his Most Similar by Age comp at Baseball Reference:
Reggie (OPS+ be damned)
BGWoodsman
Feb 6
Not sure. But I see an improved SB rate last year. I see a drop in BB rate, but he'd been fine the last two years. Nice jump in ISO(added 13 XBH despite at least 30 less PA).

Unless he gets the BA back up around .275 the gains may be marginal, but I feel like he might have a career year lurking in him somewhere if he can boost that BA like he did in 2010. I think the floor is fairly high, and I think there's a substantial portion of owners who have moved on to shinier toys(Stanton/Harper/Heyward). He could be cost-effective.
LVW
Feb 6
Losing those games vs the Astros is going to hurt him some- career .304/.371/.608 with 18 HR in 240 AB. Even his career stats in MMP are slightly better than his overall home stats. Under .200 career avg in 13 road parks.
theoldfart
Feb 5
He's talented, young and the Reds look like they'll have an even better line-up than last year, but I still don't see much room for growth in those counting stats. Is BGWoodsman predicting a big jump in batting avg?

Also, could the home/road split be a product of The Great American Bandbox?
Rotoman
Feb 4
14th in the Guide FWIW.
Last season: 27 comments
2011 season: 20 comments
2010 season: 13 comments
2009 season: 7 comments
2008 season: 11 comments
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