David Wright New York Mets
Age: 25 (December 20, 1982) | 200lbs. | 6' 0" | Bats: Right 3B-159 PH-1
TeamLeagueYearGABRH2B3BHRRBISBCSBBSOBAOBPSLGK/W$
NYN NL 2004 6926341771711440601440.293.332.5252.914
NYN NL 2005 160575991764212710217772113.306.388.5231.636
NYN NL 2006 154582961814052611620566113.311.381.5311.737
NYN NL 2007 1606041131964213010734594115.325.416.5461.246
Career 4yrs 54320243496301418973657717246381.311.388.5331.5

7 comments
PK mixed:
$47
MF 5x5:
$41
AP 4x4:
$38
Alex

6 months ago
Good explanation, Eugene. One thing I would add is, when all is said, the object is to put the best players on your team, and the ones who will be the best in a given year are fairly easy to predict. Selecting among the vast array of players who are "generally considered very good" is more of a crapshoot
EugeneFreed

6 months ago
Alex, the problem is that 20 years ago you taught everyone how to calculate prices. Of course those were based upon single league, deep drafts. When softer mixed leagues started popping up, those who became the touts in those leagues began from your theories. The prices are linear. With better players available, the top players are worth less relative to the others. So, the prices have to go down.

What this doesn't account for, and what you've been pointing out is that replacement level is so much higher. It means that players must be priced, rather than based upon the stats they create, but the stats they create relative to a team of the best player not drafted. In a 12 team AL league the best player not drafted puts up close to no stats. In a 10 team, 12 team, and even in a 15 team mixed league the best player not drafted is a full-time player, who is generally considered very good. He's a valuable major leaguer, not a fringe bench player.

You probably shouldn't clue in your competition, if you want to keep winning the supertouts, XBL or whatever it's called.
Alex

6 months ago
Without inflation, in an NL-only league, I would say the Sportsliners took Wright about as far as they could take him. Whereas people in mixed leagues should go to Rotoman's bid or even further.

I keep pointing this out (see A-Rod and Pujols threads) because it just doesn't seem to be generally understood that mixed leagues are different.

I mean, just for instance, let's flip open the Rotowire Fantasy Baseball Guide 2008 to page 41 (we can admit it, we've started buying magazines; it's that time of year). And what have we got?

Mixed league 5x5 price for David Wright: $32.

NL 4x4 price for David Wright: $37.

Someone really should tell Jeff Erickson that he's got it all wrong.
Toz

6 months ago
Wright went for $43 in the CBS Sportsline NL draft. I almost wish I said $44, because I think I could have driven him up to $7 or $48. Given the lack of third basemen in the NL, his value is considerable, if the steals stay. Since he is only 25, I still see room for improvement in all categories, with perhaps the steals leveling off. Don't think for a minute, however, that Wright hasn't thought about a 40/40 season.
Alex

8 months ago
You know what? He hit .294 in May, .323 in June, .333 in July, .394 in August and .352 in September. So, uh... hem... haw... I think you're right. He could easily set another career high in batting average this year.

I've added a dollar to my bid, but can't follow Mike into the $40 stratosphere because he's a stealth SB guy that pitchers are going to get wise to.
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